·¢Ð»°Ìâ
´òÓ¡

¼ÛÖµ·ÖÎöÖ®ÔÓ»õÆÌ

±¾Ö÷ÌâÓÉ Îçºóºì²è ÓÚ 2008-12-1 21:35 ½â³ýÖö¥

(°Ë)²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)¼ÛÖµÐÍÑ¡¹É·¨Ôò


²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)¼ÛÖµÐÍÑ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)ÊÇ֤ȯ·ÖÎöÖ®¸¸°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ºº(Benjamin Graham)µÄ´«ÈËÖ®Ò»£¬ÔÚ1970Äê³õ£¬µ£Èιý°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ֤ȯӪҵԱ£¬½ÓÊܰà½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ½Ìµ¼£¬1974Äê´´Á¢²¼À¼µÛͶ×Ê»ï°é¹«Ë¾(Brandes Investment Partners L.P.)£¬¸Õ¿ªÊ¼ÎªÍ¶×ÊÈ˹ÜÀíµÄ×ʲúÖ»ÓÐ1.3ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬µ½2001ÄêÖУ¬ÆìϹÜÀí×ʲú×ܶîÒÑ´ï750ÒÚÃÀÔªÒÔÉÏ£¬³ýÁË×ÔÒÑ·¢ÐеĻù½ðÖ®Í⣬°üº¬ÃÀ¹úÒøÐÐ(Bank of America)¡¢ÃÀÁÖ֤ȯ(Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.)¡¢AGF»ù½ð¼¯ÍÅ(AGF Group of Funds)¡¢BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.¡¢RBC Dominion Securities Inc.¡¢Pilgrim Mayflower Trust¼°CIBC Wood GundyµÈÖªÃû¹«Ë¾½ÔÊÇÆäÖØÒª¿Í»§£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛËù¹ÜÀíµÄ²¼À¼µÛÈ«ÇòÈ¨Òæ»ù½ð(Brandes Global Equity Fund)¹ýÈ¥20ÄêµÄÄêͶ×ʱ¨³êÂÊ´ï17.91%£¬³¬Ô½Ä¦¸ùʷ̹ÀûÊÀ½çÖ¸Êý(MSCI World Index)µÄ±íÏÖ´ï5.8%£¬×î½üÒ»Äê¸üÒÔ23.32%µÄͶ×ʼ¨Ð§£¬´ó·ù´ò°ÜĦ¸ùʷ̹ÀûÊÀ½çÖ¸Êý´ï48.42%£¬¼´Ê¹ÊÇÌæAGF»ù½ð¼¯ÍŹÜÀíµÄAGF¹ú¼Ê¼ÛÖµ»ù½ð(AGF International Value Fund)£¬10ÄêÆ½¾ù±¨³êÂÊÒà´ï16.62%£¬ÔÚËùÓйú¼ÊÐÍ»ù½ðÖÐÅÅÃûµÚÒ»£¬»ù½ðÆÀµÈ»ú¹¹³¿Ðǹ«Ë¾(Morningstar Inc.)¼°È«Çò»ù½ð(Globefund)½Ô¸øÓèÎå¿ÅÐǵÄ×î¸ßÆÀ¼Û£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛÒà±»Äá¶ûÉ­¹«Ë¾(Nelson's Investment Manager Database)ѡΪ2000Äê×î¼Ñ»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈË(Nelson World's Top 10 Money Manager)µÄµÚÒ»Ãû¡£

¡¡¡¡²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛµÄͶ×ÊÕÜѧµ±È»ÒÔ°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊΪÖ÷Öᣬ¶ÔÓÚ°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄÔ­Ôò·îÐв»Ó壬ÈÏΪԤ²âÐÔ×ÊÁÏ¶Ô¹ÉÆ±Í¶×ÊûÓаïÖú£¬Ï²°®Í¶×ʱ»·¨È˺öÊÓµÄÀäÃŹɣ¬¶ÔÓÚ¹«Ë¾¹ÜÀí½×²ãµÄ³ÏÐż°³Ö¹É×´¿ö·Ç³£×¢Ò⣬Ͷ×Ê³Ö¹ÉÆÚ¼äÆ½¾ù´ï3~5Ä꣬²¢ÈÏΪÂò½ø¹ÉƱ³Ö¹É²»³¬¹ýÒ»Äê²»ÄÜËãÊÇͶ×Ê£¬ÇÒͶ×Ê30~60%µÄ×ʽðÔÚ¸ßÖÊÁ¿µÄծȯ¼°Ìرð¹É£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ×ÅÓÐ1989Äê³ö°æµÄ½ñÈÕ¼ÛֵͶ×Ê(Value Investing Today£ºProven Techniques for Long-term Growth)Ò»Êé¡£

×ÊÁÏÀ´Ô´£ºValue Investing Today£ºProven Techniques for Long-term Growth£ºCharles Brandes:1989£¬¼°http://www.brandes.com¡¢http://www.managerreview.com¡¢http://www.agf.com¡¢http://www.nelnet.comµÈÍøÕ¾¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

Ç¿Á¦µÄ×ʲú¸ºÕ®±í(Companies with Strong Balance Sheets)¡£
Ïà¶ÔµÍµÄ±¾Òæ±È¡¢¹É¼ÛÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È¡¢¹É¼Û¾»Öµ±È¡£
(Companies with comparatively low price/earnings, price/cash flow, and price/book value ratio)
¹«Ë¾¾­Óª½×²ã¾ß³ÏÐÅÇҳֹɹ»¶à¡£
¹É¼ÛµÍÓÚ¹«Ë¾ÕæÊµ¼ÛÖµ(Intrinsic Value)µÄÈý·ÖÖ®¶þ¡£
RichmallµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚ²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛÌØ±ðÇ¿µ÷²»ÒÔÔ¤¹ÀµÄÊý¾Ý×÷Ϊѡ¹É±ê×¼£¬Òò´Ë£¬ÔÚÆÀ¹ÀÕæÊµ¼ÛÖµ·½Ã棬±¾Ä£¿é²»ÓÃÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿ÕÛÏÖ·¨(ÒÔÔ¤¹ÀµÄδÀ´ÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿)À´¼ÆË㣬¶øÒÔ¹«Ë¾¾»ÖµÀ´´úÌæ£¬ÒÔÀûÑ¡¹ÉÖ®½øÐС£

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

×î½üÒ»¼¾¸ºÕ®¾»Öµ±È £¼ 40%¡£
×îж­¼àʳֹɱÈÂÊ £¾ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
½üËļ¾±¾Òæ±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
¹É¼Û/½üËļ¾ÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾¹É¼Û/¾»Öµ±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾¹É¼Û/¾»Öµ±È £¼ 1.0±¶¡£
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(¾Å)Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹(Shelby Davis)³¤ÆÚ³É³¤Í¶×Ê·¨


Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹(Shelby Davis)³¤ÆÚ³É³¤Í¶×Ê·¨

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹(Shelby Davis)ÊÇ´÷ά˹¾«Ñ¡¹ËÎʹ«Ë¾(Davis Selected Advisers)´´°ìÈË£¬×Ô1969Ä꿪ʼ²Ù×÷´÷ά˹ŦԼ´´Í¶»ù½ð(Davis New York Venture Fund)ÖÁ½ñÓâ30Ä꣬¹ýÈ¥30Ä꣬ÀÛ»ý±¨³êÂÊ´ï75±¶£¬ÊÇS&P500Ö¸ÊýµÄÁ½±¶£¬¹ýÈ¥10ÄêÄêÆ½¾ù±¨³êÂÊ´ï20.27%£¬³¬Ô½Í¬ÆÚS&P500Ö¸Êý±íÏÖ´ï2.83%£¬»ñµÃ³¿Ðǹ«Ë¾(Morningstar Co.)Îå¿ÅÐÇµÄÆÀ¼Û£¬Ä¿Ç°´÷ά˹ŦԼ´´Í¶»ù½ð¹ÜÀí×Ü×ʲú´ï225ÒÚÃÀÔªÒÔÉÏ£¬¶øÔ±¹¤Í¶×ÊÔÚ´÷ά˹ϵÁлù½ðµÄ½ð¶îÒà´ï6ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬ÏÔʾԱ¹¤¶Ô¹«Ë¾µÄÐÅÐÄ¡£

¡¡¡¡´÷ά˹¼Ò×åÊÇÃÀ¹úÉÙ¼û¾ßÈý´úͶ×Ê´«³ÐµÄ¼Ò×åÖ®Ò»£¬Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹µÄ¸¸Ç×Ñ©°Ý£®¿ÂÂ×£®´÷ά˹(Shelby Collum Davis)ÔÚ1940Äê´ú¼´ÊÇÃÀ¹úÖøÃûµÄͶ×ÊÈË£¬Ï²°®³¤ÆÚͶ×ʱ£ÏÕ¹«Ë¾£¬µ±ËûÔÚ1994ÄêÈ¥ÊÀ֮ʱ£¬ÀÛ»ýµÄ×ʲú¼´´ï8.3ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹µÄÁ½¸ö¶ù×Ó¿ËÀï˹£®´÷ά˹(Chris Davis)¼°°²µÂ³£®´÷ά˹(Andrew Davis)ĿǰÒàÔÚ»ù½ð¹«Ë¾°ïÖú¸¸Ç×¹¤×÷¡£

¡¡¡¡Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹µÄͶ×ÊÕÜѧÊǵͼÛÂò½ø¾ß³ÖÐø³É³¤ÐԵĹ«Ë¾£¬²¢³¤ÆÚͶ×Ê£»»ù½ðƽ¾ùÄêÖÜתÂÊÖ»ÓÐ25-30%£¬±´ËûÖµµÍÓÚ1£¬1996Äê»ñµÃ³¿Ðǹ«Ë¾Ñ¡ÎªÄê¶È×î¼Ñ»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈË(Manager of the year 1996)£¬Ç®ÔÓÖ¾(Money Magazine)³ÆËûΪ×îÖµµÃÐÅÀµµÄ»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈË(The most reliable fund manager in the business)£¬ÖµµÃ×¢ÒâµÄÊÇÑ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹ËäÈ»ÊÇÒԳɳ¤¹ÉΪͶ×ʱêµÄ£¬µ«ËûÈÏΪ̫¿ìËٵijɳ¤´ó¶àÎÞ·¨³Ö¾Ã£¬¶øÇÒËûÊÇÒÔ¼ÛÖµÐÍ·½Ê½Ñ¡È¡Âò½ø¼Ûλ(Buy growth at value price)£¬Òò´Ë£¬ÃÀ¹ú²¿·Ý»ù½ðÆÀµÈ»ú¹¹Ò²½«Ëû¹éÀàΪ¼ÛÖµÐÍͶ×ÊÕß¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡¡¡Ñ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹ѡ¹É±ØÐ빫˾¾ßÓÐÒÔÏÂÌØµã£º

µÚÒ»Á÷µÄ¹ÜÀí(First-class Management)
¹ÜÀí½×²ã³Ö¹É±ÈÀý¸ß(Managers own significant stakes)
×ʱ¾±¨³êÂʸß(Strong returns on Capital)
Ïà¶ÔµÍµÄ¾­Óª³É±¾(A lean expense structure)
Ôڳɳ¤Êг¡ÖеÄÖ÷µ¼µØÎ»(A dominant or growing market share in a growing market)
ÓгÉΪ²¢¹ºÕßµÄʵÁ¦(A proven record as an acquirer)
Ç¿Á¦µÄ×ʲú¸ºÕ®±í( A strong balance sheet)
²úÆ·»ò·þÎñ²»»á¹ýʱ(Products or services that do not become obsolete)
³É¹¦µÄ¹ú¼Ê»¯ÒµÎñ(Successful international operations)
´´ÐÂ(Innovation)£¬ÀûÓÿƼ¼£®½µµÍ³É±¾¡¢Ôö¼ÓÏúÊÛ¡£
´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚÑ©°Ý£®´÷ά˹µÄ·½·¨²¿·Ý¾ßÓÐÖ÷¹ÛµÄ³É·Ý£¬±¾ÏµÍ³Ö»Ñ¡È¡¿ÉÊýÁ¿»¯µÄ²¿·Ý×öΪѡ¹É±ê×¼£º

¶­¼à³Ö¹É±ÈÀý¸ßÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
5ÄêÆ½¾ù¹É¶«È¨Ò汨³êÂʸßÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
5ÄêÆ½¾ùÓªÒµÀûÒæÂʸßÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
¸ºÕ®±ÈÀýµÍÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
Ô¤¹À±¾Òæ±ÈµÍÓÚÔ¤¹ÀÓ¯Óà³É³¤ÂÊ
ʹÓÃÏÞÖÆ£º

ËäȻѩ°Ý£®´÷Î¬Ë¹×¢ÖØËùͶ×ʹ«Ë¾³¤ÆÚ¶ø³ÖÐøµÄ³É³¤£¬µ«²»Æ«ºÃ¸ß¿Æ¼¼¹É£¬·´¶ø¶Ô½ðÈÚ¡¢±£ÏÕ¼°Ö¤È¯µÈÐÐÒµÆÄÓÐÆ«ºÃ£¬Ò»·½ÃæËûÈÏΪ½ðÈÚ¡¢±£ÏÕµÈÐÐÒµÓÀÔ¶²»»áÍÊÁ÷ÐУ»ÁíÒ»·½Ãæ¿ÉÄÜÊÇÒòÊÜËû¸¸Ç×Ñ©°Ý£®¿ÂÂ×£®´÷ά˹µÄÓ°÷Ï¡£  
ÓÉÓÚÔÚÖйú£¬¾­ÓªÈ¨ºÍËùÓÐȨ»­·Ö²»ËƹúÍâ·ÖÃ÷£¬ÇÒ¶­Ê¶àÓмæÈξ­ÀíÈËÖ®ÇéÊ£¬¹Ê±¾ÏµÍ³ÒÔ¶­¼àʳֹɱÈÀý´úÌæ¾­ÀíÈ˱ÈÀýÀ´±íʾ¹ÜÀí½×²ã³Ö¹É±ÈÀý»á¸üÓÐÒâÒå¡£  
Ô¤¹À×ÊÁÏϵÓÅÏȲÉÓù«Ë¾Ô¤¹ÀÊý£¬Æä´ÎΪͶ×Ê»ú¹¹Ô¤¹ÀÊý, ×îºó²ÅÓýü5ÄêÓ¯ÓàÆ½¾ù³É³¤ÂÊÍÆ¹À±¾Äê¶ÈÖ®»ñÀû¡£
ʹÓÃÔ¤¹Àʱ£¬Çë×¢ÒâÏÂÁÐÏÞÖÆ
¡¾¹«Ë¾Ô¤¹À¡¿
¡¡¡¡ÒòÔ¤¹ÀÐÅÏ¢À´Ô´Îª¹«Ë¾(ÄÚº¬¾­»á¼ÆÊ¦ºËÔÄÖ®Õýʽ²ÆÎñÔ¤²â) ¡¢³ýÕýʽ֮²Æ²â¾ßÇ¿ÖÆÐÔ£¬ÐëÒÀ»ñÀû½ø¶È×÷¸üÐÂÍ⣬ÆäÓàÓɹ«Ë¾ÄÚ²¿ÈË·¢²¼Ö®Ô¤¹ÀÊý½ÔÎÞÇ¿ÖÆÒªÆä·¢²¼»ò¸üУ¬¹ÊʹÓÃÉÏ£¬¿ÉÄÜ»áÒòÔ¤¹ÀʱµãÔ磬µ«Ö®ºóÓöÉϲú¾­Çé¿ö´óת±äÏ£¬¸ÃÔ¤¹ÀÖµ¿ÉÄܸß(µÍ) ¹À¡£

¡¾Í¶×Ê»ú¹¹Ô¤¹À¡¿
¡¡¡¡ÒòȯÉ̶àÔÚÿÄêÄê³õ¶ÔÈ«ÌåÉÏÊÐ(¹«Ë¾Î´À´Ò»Äê×öÔ¤¹À£¬µ«ÊÜÏÞÓÚÆäÈËÁ¦¼°³É±¾¿¼ÂÇ£¬Æä¶àÖ»¶ÔһЩÊг¡ÉÏÈÈÃŵĹ«Ë¾¹ÀÐøºó×·×ÙÐÞÕý£¬¹ÊʹÓÃÉÏ£¬»áÒòÔ¤¹ÀʱµãÔ磬»ò²úÒµ·¢ÉúÖØ´ó±ä»¯£¬µ«¹«Ë¾ÊôÓÚÀäÃŵĹ«Ë¾µÄÇé¿öÏ£¬Ô¤¹ÀÖµ¿ÉÄܸß(µÍ) ¹À¡£

¡¾ÒÔ5ÄêÆ½¾ùÓ¯Óà³É³¤ÂÊÍÆ¹À¡¿
¡¡¡¡ÏµÊ¹Óù«Ë¾ÀúÊ·µÄÇé¿öÀ´ÍƹÀδÀ´Ò»ÄêµÄ»ñÀû£¬È»¹ýÈ¥µÄ¼¨Ð§²»Äܱ£Ö¤Î´À´µÄ»ñÀûÄÜÁ¦£¬ÔÚÎÞ¹«Ë¾»òͶ×Ê»ú¹¹Ô¤¹ÀµÄÇé¿öÏ£¬Ìṩ¸ÃÖµ²Î¿¼¡£
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®)½ÜÈð÷죮κ˹(Geraldine Weiss)À¶³ï¹ÉͶ×Ê·¨


½ÜÈð÷죮κ˹(Geraldine Weiss)À¶³ï¹ÉͶ×Ê·¨

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡½ÜÈð÷죮κ˹ÊÇÃÀ¹úÖøÃûͶ×ʽ¨Ò鿯ÎͶ×ÊÌåÖÊÇ÷ÊÆ¡¿(Investment Quality Trend)µÄ×ÊÉî±à¼­¼æ·¢ÐÐÈË£¬¡¾Í¶×ÊÌåÖÊÇ÷ÊÆ¡¿´´¿¯ÓÚ1966Ä꣬Ö÷Òª²ÉÓõÄͶ×ʹÛÄîÊÇ¡¾¹ÉϢЧӦ¡¿£¬ÖÁ½ñÈÔÀú¾Ã²»Ë¥£»Í¶×Ê´óʦÂí¿Ë£®ºÕ²®(Mark Hulbert)ÔÚ1992Äê11Ôµĸ»±ÈÊ¿(Forbes)ÔÓÖ¾ÖУ¬ÔøÔÞÑͶ×ÊÌåÖÊÇ÷ÊÆ¡¿£¬×Ô1986ÄêÖÁ1992Ä꣬±¨³êÂÊ´ï155%£¬±ÈWilshire5000Ö¸ÊýµÄ125%±íÏÖÓÅÒ죬¶øÇÒ²¨¶¯ÂʱÈWilshire5000Ö¸ÊýµÍ20%¡£¡¾Í¶×ÊÌåÖÊÇ÷ÊÆ¡¿µÄ¼¨Ð§£¬Ò»Ö±ÒÔÀ´½ÔÅÅÃûÔÚͶ×ʹËÎÊÒµµÄǰ10%Ö®ÄÚ£»½ÜÈð÷죮κ˹×Ô1986Äê¼ÓÈëÖÁ½ñ£¬²¢×ÅÓС¾¹ÉƱͶ×ʼÛÖµ·ÖÎö¡¿(The Dividends Connection-How Dividends Create Value in the Stock Market)(¸ÃÊéÓëGregory Weiss ºÏ×Å)¼°¡¾¹ÉÏ¢²»Ëµ»Ñ¡¿(Dividends Don't Lie)µÈÊ飻±¾ÏµÍ³ËùʹÓõÄͶ×Ê·½·¨¼´À´×Ô¡¾¹ÉƱͶ×ʼÛÖµ·ÖÎö¡¿Ò»Êé¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡¡¡¡¾Í¶×ÊÌåÖÊÇ÷ÊÆ¡¿µÄÌØÉ«ÔÚÓÚֻѡȡԼ350µµÀ¶³ï¹É×öΪͶ×Ê·ÖÎöµÄ±êµÄ£¬ÒýÓÃÁùÏîµ¥´¿µÄ×¼Ôò£¬ÆÀ¹À¹ÉƱµÄÌåÖÊ£¬½ç¶¨À¶³ï¹ÉµÄ±ØÒªÌõ¼þ¡£

¹ýÈ¥12ÄêÄÚ¹ÉÏ¢±ØÐë³É³¤5±¶
ÔÚʷ̹ÆÕ(Standard & Poor's)ÌåÖÊÆÀ¹ÀÖбØÐëÊÇA-¼¶»òÒÔÉÏ£¬´ú±íƽ¾ùˮƽÒÔÉϵÄͶ×ÊÌåÖÊ¡£
ÔÚÍâÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÊýÖÁÉÙΪ500Íò¹É£¬ÒÔÈ·±£Óгä·ÝµÄÊг¡Á÷ͨÐÔ¡£
ÖÁÉÙÓÐ80¼Ò»ú¹¹³ÖÓиùÉ
ÖÁÉÙ±ØÐë25Äê²»¼ä¶Ï·¢·Å¹ÉÏ¢
¹ýÈ¥12ÄêÖУ¬¹«Ë¾Ó¯Óà±ØÐëÖÁÉÙÓÐ7Äê³É³¤¡£
´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚ¹úÄÚÍâ¹ÉÊÐʵ¼ÊÇé¿öÉÔÓв»Í¬£¬Òò´Ë£¬±¾ÏµÍ³½«Ñ¡¹ÉÌõ¼þÉÔ×÷¸ü¶¯£¬ÒÔÀûÓÚÑ¡¹ÉÖ®½øÐС£

¹É±¾´óÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµµÄ¹«Ë¾
ÖÁÉÙÓÐ10¼ÒÒÔÉÏͶÐŹɯ±ÐÍ»ù½ð³ÖÓиùɡ£
5ÄêÄÚÓ¯Óà³É³¤ÁË3ÄêÒÔÉÏ¡£
¹ýÈ¥3ÄêÖУ¬²»¼ä¶Ï·¢·Å¹ÉÏ¢
¹ýÈ¥3Äê¹ÉÏ¢±ØÐë³É³¤0.5±¶ÒÔÉÏ
¹ÉÏ¢Ö³ÀûÂÊ >= 4%
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(ʮһ)ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û(William J. O'Neil)CANSLIMͶ×Ê·¨Ôò


ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û(William J. O'Neil)CANSLIMͶ×Ê·¨Ôò
±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û(William J. O'Neil)ÊÇÃÀ¹úÖªÃûµÄ³É³¤ÐÍͶ×Ê´óʦ£¬Í¶×ʾ­Àú³¤´ï40Ä꣬±ÏÒµÓÚÄÏÃÀÒÔÃÀ´óѧ(Southern Methodist University)£¬²¢ÔøÔÚÃÀ¹ú¿Õ¾ü·þÒÛÆÚ¼äÒÔ300ÃÀÔª¿ªÊ¼Í¶×ʱ¦¼î(Proctor & Gamble)¹ÉƱ£¬ÍËÒÛºóÔÚÂåÉ¼í¶µÄº£µÇ£®Ê·¶«(Hayden, Stone & Company)֤ȯ¹«Ë¾µ£Èξ­¼ÍÈ˼°ÔÚ¹þ·ð´óѧµÄ¹ÜÀí·¢Õ¹Ëù(PMD£ºProgram for Management Development)Ñо¿ÆÚ¼ä£¬¿ªÊ¼Ñо¿ÃÀ¹ú¹ÉƱʷÉÏÕÇ·ù×î´óµÄ¹ÉƱËù¾ßÓеÄÌØÐÔ£¬·¢Õ¹³öÖøÃûµÄCANSLIMÑ¡¹ÉͶ×Ê·¨Ôò£¬ËûÒÔCANSLIM µÄ·½·¨½øÐÐʵ¼ÊͶ×Ê£¬´´ÏÂÔÚ26¸öÔÂÄÚ´ó׬20±¶µÄ¼Ç¼£¬1963Äê´´Á¢ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û¹«Ë¾(William O'Neil & Co.,Inc.)£¬²¢ÂòÏÂŦԼ֤ȯ½»Ò×Ëù(NYSE)µÄ½»Ò×ϯ룬µ±Ê±ËûÄê½ö30Ë꣬´´ÏÂ×îÄêÇáÓµÓÐŦԼ֤ȯ½»Ò×Ëù½»Ò×ϯλµÄ¼Ç¼£¬1984Ä꿪ʼ·¢ÐÐͶ×ÊÕ߲ƾ­ÈÕ±¨(Investor's Business Daily)£¬³ÉΪΨһ¿ÉÒԺͻª¶û½ÖÈÕ±¨(The Wall Street Journal)æÇÃÀµÄͶ×ÊÈÕ±¨£¬1988Äê³ö°æHow to Make Money in Stocks: A winning system in good times or badÒ»Êé(ÖÐÒ룺Ц°Á¹ÉÊÐ)£¬¼´³ÉΪµ±Äê¶ÈÈ«ÃÀ×ÏúµÄͶ×ÊÀàÊé¼®£¬²¢ÔÚ1990Äê¼°1994ÄêÔٰ棬ÖÁ½ñÒÑÏúÊÛ´ï100Íò±¾ÒÔÉÏ£¬¶øÇÒÈÔÈ»¼ÌÐø·¢ÐС£

¡¡¡¡Ä¿Ç°ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û¹«Ë¾ÒѳÉΪȫÇòÖ÷Òª»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈË×îϲ°®µÄͶ×ʹËÎʹ«Ë¾Ö®Ò»£¬Óг¬¹ý600λ»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈËÌýÈ¡ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶ûµÄͶ×ʽ¨Ò飬¶øÍ¶×ÊÕ߲ƾ­ÈÕ±¨ÔÚÈ«ÃÀµÄ¶©»§³¬¹ý30ÍòÈË£¬¶Ô¹ÉÊеÄÓ°Ïì·Ç³£´ó£¬ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶û¹«Ë¾Ä¿Ç°ÈÔµ£ÈÎÆäÆìÏÂÎå¼Ò¹«Ë¾µÄ¶­Ê³¤£¬²¢³ÖÐøÒÔÑݽ²µÄ·½Ê½ÐûÑïÆäCANSLIMµÄͶ×ʲßÂÔ¡£

×ÊÁÏÀ´Ô´£º1. http://www.williamoneil.com¡¢2. http://www.investors.com¡¢
¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡3. http://www.dailygraphs.com¡£
¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡  How to Make Money in Stocks£ºA winning system in good times or bad)

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡ÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶ûÑо¿1953Ä꿪ʼÖÁ1990Äê¼ä£¬ÃÀ¹ú±íÏÖ×îºÃµÄ500¼ÒÉÏÊй«Ë¾£¬ÕûÀí³öÆä¾ßµÄ¹²Í¬ÌØÐÔ£¬·¢Õ¹³öCANSLIMµÄͶ×ÊÕÜѧ£º

C£ºµ±¼¾Ó¯Óà³É³¤ÂÊÖÁÉÙ18~20%(Current quarterly earning per share must be up at least 18~20%)¡£
A£º¹ýÈ¥ÎåÄêÓ¯ÓàÏÔÖø³É³¤£¬¸´ºÏ³É³¤ÂÊ15~50%»òÒÔÉÏ(Annual earning per share should be meaningful growth over the last five years, the annual compounded growth rate of earnings in the superior firms should be from 15% to 50%, or even more per year)¡£
N£ºÐ²úÆ·¡¢Ð¹ÜÀí½×²ã»ò¹É¼Û´´Ð¸ߣ¬Íü¼ÇµÍ¼Û¹É£¬¹É¼ÛµÍͨ³£ÓÐÆäÀíÓÉ´æÔÚ(Buy companies with new products, new management, or significant new changes in their industry conditions, and most important, buy stocks as they initially make new highs in price. Forget cheap stocks¡ªthey are usually cheap for a good reason)¡£
S£ºÁ÷ͨÔÚÍâ¹ÉÊýÉÙ»òÊÇÔÚºÏÀíˮƽ֮ÄÚ(Shares outstanding should be small or of reasonable number, not large capitalization, older companies)¡£
L£ºÊг¡µÄÁìµ¼Õß»òÂäºóÕߣ¬Ó¦ÌôÑ¡(Leader or Laggard£ºthe 500 best performing stocks from 1953 to 1990 averaged a relative price strength of 87)¡£
I£º×¨ÒµÍ¶×Ê»ú¹¹µÄÈÏͬ(Institutional sponsorship£ºBuy stocks with at least a few institutional sponsors with better than average recent performance records)¡£
M£ºÊг¡×ßÏò(Market Direction)¡£
´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡ÓÉÓÚÍþÁ®£®Å·Äá¶ûËùÓõÄÖ¸±êÖУ¬ÓÐһС²¿·ÝÎÞ·¨ÒÔÁ¿»¯µÄ·½Ê½×ö³ÌÐòɸѡ£¬È繫˾ÊÇ·ñÓÐвúÆ·£¿Ð²úÆ·µÄ¾ºÕùÁ¦ÈçºÎ£¿Ð¾­Óª½×²ãµÄÁ¼ñÁ£¿µÈ£¬½ÔÊÇÖ÷¹ÛÅжϣ¬±¾Ñ¡¹É³ÌÐò²»ÁÐÈëɸѡÌõ¼þ£¬¶øÆäµÚ£·Ïî±ê×¼£¬ÓÉÓÚÿһ¸öÈ˶ÔÓÚÊг¡·½ÏòµÄ¶¨Òå¼°¿´·¨½Ô¿ÉÄܲ»Í¬£¬Òò´Ë£¬±¾Ñ¡¹É³ÌÐò²»×öÅжϣ¬ÓÉ»áÔ±×ÔÐÐÊäÈëÊг¡Ö®Ç÷ÊÆ¡£

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£ºÒÔÏÂÆß¸öÑ¡¹É±ê×¼ÖУ¬·ûºÏ£±¸ö¼´¸ø£±·Ö£¬×ִܷ·ÖÒÔÉϼ´ÊÇÂò½ø±êµÄ¡£

C£ºµ¥¼¾³£ÐøÐÔÀûÒæ³É³¤ÂʨR18%¡£
A£ºÎåÄê³£ÐøÐÔÀûÒæ¸´ºÏ³É³¤ÂʨR15% ÇÒ Ã¿Äê½ÔΪÕý³É³¤¡£
N£º¹É¼Û¨R×î½ü£±Äê×î¸ß¼Û¡£
S£º×ÜÊÐÖµ£¼Êг¡Æ½¾ù×ÜÊÐÖµ¨w1.2¡£
L£ºÒ»Äê¹É¼ÛÏà¶ÔÇ¿Èõ¶È(RPS)¨R80¡£
I£ºÍ¶ÐÅ»ù½ð³ÖÓмÒÊý¨R10 »ò Íâ×ʳֹɱÈÀý¨R5%¡£
M£ºÊг¡Ç÷ÊÆÊÇ·ñΪ¶àÍ·£¿
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®¶þ)²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)¼ÛÖµÐÍÑ¡¹É·¨Ôò


²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)¼ÛÖµÐÍÑ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ(Charles Brandes)ÊÇ֤ȯ·ÖÎöÖ®¸¸°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ºº(Benjamin Graham)µÄ´«ÈËÖ®Ò»£¬ÔÚ1970Äê³õ£¬µ£Èιý°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ֤ȯӪҵԱ£¬½ÓÊܰà½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ½Ìµ¼£¬1974Äê´´Á¢²¼À¼µÛͶ×Ê»ï°é¹«Ë¾(Brandes Investment Partners L.P.)£¬¸Õ¿ªÊ¼ÎªÍ¶×ÊÈ˹ÜÀíµÄ×ʲúÖ»ÓÐ1.3ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬µ½2001ÄêÖУ¬ÆìϹÜÀí×ʲú×ܶîÒÑ´ï750ÒÚÃÀÔªÒÔÉÏ£¬³ýÁË×ÔÒÑ·¢ÐеĻù½ðÖ®Í⣬°üº¬ÃÀ¹úÒøÐÐ(Bank of America)¡¢ÃÀÁÖ֤ȯ(Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.)¡¢AGF»ù½ð¼¯ÍÅ(AGF Group of Funds)¡¢BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.¡¢RBC Dominion Securities Inc.¡¢Pilgrim Mayflower Trust¼°CIBC Wood GundyµÈÖªÃû¹«Ë¾½ÔÊÇÆäÖØÒª¿Í»§£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛËù¹ÜÀíµÄ²¼À¼µÛÈ«ÇòÈ¨Òæ»ù½ð(Brandes Global Equity Fund)¹ýÈ¥20ÄêµÄÄêͶ×ʱ¨³êÂÊ´ï17.91%£¬³¬Ô½Ä¦¸ùʷ̹ÀûÊÀ½çÖ¸Êý(MSCI World Index)µÄ±íÏÖ´ï5.8%£¬×î½üÒ»Äê¸üÒÔ23.32%µÄͶ×ʼ¨Ð§£¬´ó·ù´ò°ÜĦ¸ùʷ̹ÀûÊÀ½çÖ¸Êý´ï48.42%£¬¼´Ê¹ÊÇÌæAGF»ù½ð¼¯ÍŹÜÀíµÄAGF¹ú¼Ê¼ÛÖµ»ù½ð(AGF International Value Fund)£¬10ÄêÆ½¾ù±¨³êÂÊÒà´ï16.62%£¬ÔÚËùÓйú¼ÊÐÍ»ù½ðÖÐÅÅÃûµÚÒ»£¬»ù½ðÆÀµÈ»ú¹¹³¿Ðǹ«Ë¾(Morningstar Inc.)¼°È«Çò»ù½ð(Globefund)½Ô¸øÓèÎå¿ÅÐǵÄ×î¸ßÆÀ¼Û£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛÒà±»Äá¶ûÉ­¹«Ë¾(Nelson's Investment Manager Database)ѡΪ2000Äê×î¼Ñ»ù½ð¾­ÀíÈË(Nelson World's Top 10 Money Manager)µÄµÚÒ»Ãû¡£

¡¡¡¡²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛµÄͶ×ÊÕÜѧµ±È»ÒÔ°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊΪÖ÷Öᣬ¶ÔÓÚ°à½ÜÃ÷£®¸ðÀ­ººµÄÔ­Ôò·îÐв»Ó壬ÈÏΪԤ²âÐÔ×ÊÁÏ¶Ô¹ÉÆ±Í¶×ÊûÓаïÖú£¬Ï²°®Í¶×ʱ»·¨È˺öÊÓµÄÀäÃŹɣ¬¶ÔÓÚ¹«Ë¾¹ÜÀí½×²ãµÄ³ÏÐż°³Ö¹É×´¿ö·Ç³£×¢Ò⣬Ͷ×Ê³Ö¹ÉÆÚ¼äÆ½¾ù´ï3~5Ä꣬²¢ÈÏΪÂò½ø¹ÉƱ³Ö¹É²»³¬¹ýÒ»Äê²»ÄÜËãÊÇͶ×Ê£¬ÇÒͶ×Ê30~60%µÄ×ʽðÔÚ¸ßÖÊÁ¿µÄծȯ¼°Ìرð¹É£¬²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛ×ÅÓÐ1989Äê³ö°æµÄ½ñÈÕ¼ÛֵͶ×Ê(Value Investing Today£ºProven Techniques for Long-term Growth)Ò»Êé¡£

×ÊÁÏÀ´Ô´£ºValue Investing Today£ºProven Techniques for Long-term Growth£ºCharles Brandes:1989£¬¼°http://www.brandes.com¡¢http://www.managerreview.com¡¢http://www.agf.com¡¢http://www.nelnet.comµÈÍøÕ¾¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

Ç¿Á¦µÄ×ʲú¸ºÕ®±í(Companies with Strong Balance Sheets)¡£
Ïà¶ÔµÍµÄ±¾Òæ±È¡¢¹É¼ÛÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È¡¢¹É¼Û¾»Öµ±È¡£
(Companies with comparatively low price/earnings, price/cash flow, and price/book value ratio)
¹«Ë¾¾­Óª½×²ã¾ß³ÏÐÅÇҳֹɹ»¶à¡£
¹É¼ÛµÍÓÚ¹«Ë¾ÕæÊµ¼ÛÖµ(Intrinsic Value)µÄÈý·ÖÖ®¶þ¡£
RichmallµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚ²é¶ûÊ¿£®²¼À¼µÛÌØ±ðÇ¿µ÷²»ÒÔÔ¤¹ÀµÄÊý¾Ý×÷Ϊѡ¹É±ê×¼£¬Òò´Ë£¬ÔÚÆÀ¹ÀÕæÊµ¼ÛÖµ·½Ã棬±¾Ä£¿é²»ÓÃÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿ÕÛÏÖ·¨(ÒÔÔ¤¹ÀµÄδÀ´ÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿)À´¼ÆË㣬¶øÒÔ¹«Ë¾¾»ÖµÀ´´úÌæ£¬ÒÔÀûÑ¡¹ÉÖ®½øÐС£

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

×î½üÒ»¼¾¸ºÕ®¾»Öµ±È £¼ 40%¡£
×îж­¼àʳֹɱÈÂÊ £¾ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
½üËļ¾±¾Òæ±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
¹É¼Û/½üËļ¾ÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾¹É¼Û/¾»Öµ±È £¼ Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾¹É¼Û/¾»Öµ±È £¼ 1.0±¶¡£
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®Èý)½Ü¿Ë£®²¼À­Ï£ (Jack Brush) Îȶ¨³É³¤ Ñ¡¹É·¨Ôò


½Ü¿Ë£®²¼À­Ï£ (Jack Brush) Îȶ¨³É³¤ Ñ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡½Ü¿Ë£®²¼À­Ï£(Jack Brush)ÊÇÃÀ¹úÖªÃûµÄ¹ÉÊÐÊýÁ¿·ÖÎö´óʦ£¬±ÏÒµÓÚÃÀ¹ú¿Õ¾üѧԺ(United States Air Force Academy)£¬²¢È¡µÃÂéÖÝÀí¹¤Ñ§Ôº(Massachusetts Institute of Technology)µç»ú˶ʿ¼°¼ÓÖÝ´óѧÂåÉ¼í¶·ÖУ(University of California, Los Angeles)¹ÜÀí²©Ê¿Ñ§Î»£¬Ôøµ£ÈÎÃÀ¹ú¿Õ¾üÖøÃûµÄÊýÁ¿Ä£Ðͼ°µç»úÑо¿µ¥Î»¡ªÈüÀÕÑо¿ÊµÑéÊÒ(F.J. Seiler Research Laboratory)²Ù×÷Ñо¿²¿ÃÅ(Operations Research Division)Ö÷¹Ü£¬²¢ÈνÌÓÚÃÀ¹ú¿Õ¾üѧԺ¾­¼Ãϵ£¬1976Äê´´Á¢¸çÂ×°Ý×ʱ¾·þÎñ¹«Ë¾(Columbine Capital Services Inc.)£¬×¨ÃÅÌṩ¸÷ÖÖÊýÁ¿»¯µÄÄ£ÐÍ·þÎñ¸øÓèͶ×Ê×éºÏ¾­ÀíÈ˲ο¼£¬ÖÁ2001ÄêÖУ¬¸çÂ×°Ý×ʱ¾·þÎñ¹«Ë¾Ëù·þÎñµÄ¿Í»§×ܼƹÜÀí×ʲú´ï3Õ×ÃÀÔªÒÔÉÏ¡£

¡¡¡¡½Ü¿Ë£®²¼À­Ï£µÄÑо¿ÒÔÊýÁ¿·ÖÎöΪÖ÷£¬ÒÔ×î¼Ñ»¯(Optimization)µÄÄ£Äâ(Simulation)·¢Õ¹³ö¿ÉÒÔÔ¤²â³¬¶î±¨³ê(excess return£ºalpha)µÄ¸÷ÖÖÄ£ÐÍ£¬ÊÊÓÃÓÚ¸÷ÖÖÊг¡Çé¿ö¼°²»Í¬µÄͶ×Ê·ç¸ñ£¬½Ü¿Ë£®²¼À­Ï£²¢ÔøÔÚ1995ÄêµÄͶ×Ê×éºÏ¹ÜÀíÔ¿¯(Journal of Portfolio Management)ÖУ¬·¢±í¡±Ð±ÂÊ×î´ó»¯£ºÍêÕûµÄ±¨³ê·çÏÕͶ×Ê×éºÏ½¨Á¢³ÌÐò(Gradient Maximization: An Integrated Return/Risk Portfolio Construction Procedure)Ò»ÎÄ£¬À´²ûÊöËûµÄÀíÄî¡£

¡¡¡¡±¾Ä£¿é³ÌÐò²ÉÓýܿˣ®²¼À­Ï£ÔÚ½ÓÊÜýÌåר·Ãʱ͸¶ÈçºÎÑ¡ÔñÎȶ¨³É³¤¹É(Slow-Growth Sector)µÄÑ¡¹Éģʽ£¬ÖµµÃ×¢ÒâµÄÊÇ£¬ËûÈÏΪ¹«Ë¾µÄÔ¤¹ÀÓ¯Óà¸üÕý±ÈÓ¯Óà³É³¤Âʱ¾ÉíÖØÒª£¬¶øÔÚ¹É¼ÛÆÀ¼Ûʱ(Valuation)Ö»ÒªÓÐÒ»¸öÖ¸±ê¼´¿É£¬¹É¼ÛÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È(P/CF)±È±¾Òæ±È(P/E)¸üÓÐЧ¡£

×ÊÁÏÀ´Ô´£ºhttp://www.columbinecap.com¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

Ñ¡Ôñ×ÜÊÐÖµ´óÓÚ10ÒÚÃÀÔªÇÒÅÅÃûÔÚǰ100ÃûÒÔÍâµÄ¹«Ë¾(Market capitalization Minimum $1billion, but throw out the top 100)¡£
´ÎÄê¶ÈÓ¯ÓàÔ¤²âµ÷¸ß(Earnings estimate revisions£ºHigher for the next fiscal year)¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾ÓÐÓ¯Óྪϲ(Earnings surprise£ºAt least better than 0% in the most recent quarter)¡£
¹É¼ÛÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±ÈµÍÓÚ²úҵƽ¾ùÖµ(Price to cash flow ratio£ºLower than industry)¡£
¹É¼Û¶¯Äܸß(Price momentum£ºPut a lot of weight on the most recent 6 months, some weight on the past 12 months, and invert the past month)¡£
´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡ÓÉÓڽܿˣ®²¼À­Ï£µÄÑ¡¹ÉÖ¸±êÖУ¬Óв¿·Ý±ê×¼²¢²»ÊÊÓÃÓÚÖйú¹ÉÊÐ(ÈçµÚÒ»ÏîµÄÊÐÖµÏÞÖÆ£¬ÃÀ¹ú¹ÉÊеÄÉÏÊмÒÊý¼°ÊÐÖµ¹æÄ£±ÈÖйú¶àÇÒ´ó)£¬Òò´Ë£¬±¾MALLÒÀÖйúÇé¿ö×÷ÐÞÕý£¬±¾Ä£¿é³ÌÐò²¢½«ÆäÑ¡¹É·½·¨ÖØ×é³ÉÑ¡¹É±ê×¼¼°Âò½ø±ê×¼Á½¸ö²¿·Ý£º

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

×ÜÊÐÖµ £¾ 50ÒÚ¡£
ÌÞ³ý×ÜÊÐÖµ×î¸ßµÄ30¼Ò¹«Ë¾¡£
×î½ü°ëÄêÄÚ¹«Ë¾»ò·¨ÈË»ú¹¹Óе÷¸ßÓ¯ÓàÔ¤¹ÀµÄ¼Ç¼¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾ÀÛ¼ÆË°ºóÓ¯Óà´ï±êÂÊ £¾ ±ê×¼´ï±êÂÊ¡£
¡¡Âò½ø±ê×¼£º

×î½üËᄍɼÛÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿±È £¼ ²úҵƽ¾ùÖµ¡£
¹É¼Û¶¯ÄÜÅÅÃûǰ20%¡£
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®ËÄ)Âí¶¡.×ÈÍþ¸ñµÄÑ¡¹É²ßÂÔ


Âí¶¡.×ÈÍþ¸ñµÄÑ¡¹É²ßÂÔ


¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡µÚÒ»²¿·Ö£ºÍ¶×ÊÕÜѧ
¡¡¡¡ÔÚ¹ÉÆ±Í¶×ʲßÂÔÖУ¬Ö÷ÒªÓмÛÖµÐÍÓë³É³¤ÐÍÁ½ÖÖÀà±ð¡£¼ÛֵͶ×ʲßÂÔÇãÏòÓÚѰÕÒ±»Êг¡ºöÊÓ»ò¼ÛÖµ±»µÍ¹ÀµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬³É³¤ÐÍͶ×ÊÔòÖ÷Òª¹Ø×¢ÄÇЩÊÕÈë»òÓ¯ÀûÕ¹ÏÖ³ö³ÖÐøÐÔ»ò¼ÓËÙÔö³¤Ì¬ÊƵĹ«Ë¾¡£µ«ÎÒÃÇÔÚͶ×ÊÖкÜÉÙ·¢ÏÖÒÔ´¿´âµÄ¼ÛÖµ»ò´¿´â³É³¤Îªµ¼ÏòµÄ²ßÂÔ£¬¶àÊýʱºòÖ»ÊǸüÆ«ÏòÓÚÆäÖÐÖ®Ò»»òÕßÊǶþÕß¼æ¶øÓÐÖ®¡£
¡¡¡¡Âí¶¡.×ÈÍþ¸ñÊÇ×ÈÍþ¸ñ»ù½ð¹ÜÀíÕߣ¬20ÊÀ¼Í90Äê´úÁ½¶Èµ±Ñ¡Hulbert Financial Digest×î¼ÑÑ¡¹Éʦ£¬ÇãÏòÓڳɳ¤ÐÍͶ×ʲßÂÔ¡£ÔÚ¡¶Âí¶¡•×ÈÍþ¸ñ£ºÕ½Ê¤»ª¶û½Ö¡·£¨»ªÄɹ«Ë¾£¬1997Ä꣩һÊéÖУ¬Ëû²ßÂÔÐÔµØÃèÊöÁËÈçºÎ¼ø±ðÊÕÈëºÍÓ¯Àû¾ßÓи߳ɳ¤µÄ¹«Ë¾ºÍÔÚÒ»¶¨Ôö³¤ÂʵĻù´¡ÉÏÓÐÒ»¸öºÏÀíÊÐÓ¯ÂÊˮƽµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬²¢¸ù¾ÝÄÚ²¿ÈËÂòÈëÐÐΪ£¨»òÖÁÉÙûÓÐÄÚ²¿ÈË´óÁ¿Âô³ö¹ÉƱµÄ¼£Ïó£©ÒÔ¼°¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñµÄÏà¶ÔÇ¿ÊÆÀ´¾ö¶¨ÂòÈë¹ÉƱ¡£
¡¡¡¡È«¸±Îä×°Äã×Ô¼º
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñ½«Ñ¡¹É·ÖΪÁ½Àà·¶³ë¡ª¶ÌǹʽºÍ²½Ç¹Ê½.¡£¶ÌǹʽÊÇ×ÈÍþ¸ñ·Ç³£ÌᳫµÄ£¬ÔÚÔËÓÃÑ¡¹É±ê׼ʱ±ØÐë²ÉÓù«¿ªµÄÏÖÓÐÊý¾Ý¡£Õâ¸ö½ÏΪ»úеµÄ·½·¨ÄܰïÖúÎÒÃÇÒ»´ÎÐÔɸѡµ½´óÅú¹ÉƱ£¬´Ó¶øÔÚÿ¸ö¹«Ë¾µÄ¿¼²ìÉÏ»¨µÄʱ¼ä¸üÉÙ¡£Ïà·´£¬²½Ç¹Õ½ÂÔ°üÀ¨ÉîÈë·ÖÎöÎÒÃÇËùÑ¡µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£Õâ¸ö·ÖÎö¿ÉÄܰüÀ¨»á¼Æ·½·¨µÄÓ¦Ó㬹«Ë¾¼°Ëù´¦ÐÐҵδÀ´·¢Õ¹Ç÷ÊÆ£¬ÒÔ¼°´ó¶ÑµÄ²»È·¶¨ÒòËØ¶Ô¹«Ë¾µÄÓ°Ïì·ÖÎö¡£È»¶ø£¬×ÈÍþ¸ñÖ¸³ö£¬ÕâÖÖ·½·¨¶ÔÓÚÆÕͨͶ×ÊÕßÀ´ËµÓÐЩ²»ÇÐʵ¼Ê£¬ÒòΪËüÒªÇóÎÒÃÇȫְרעÓÚÕû¸öÊг¡¶¯Ì¬¡£
¡¡¡¡¸ß³É³¤ÐÍ
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñÑ¡¹É²ßÂÔÖеÄÒ»¸ö¹Ø¼üµãÊÇ£º·´¸´Ç¿µ÷Ëû³ÆÖ®ÎªµÄ¡°ÏúÊÛºÍÀûÈóµÄºÏÀíÔö³¤ÐÔ¡±¡£Îª´ËËû½«´Ó¶à¸ö½Ç¶È¼ìÑé¾ø¶ÔˮƽÒÔ¼°Ôö³¤ÂÊ¡£
¡¡¡¡Ó¯ÀûµÄÎȶ¨ÐÔ
¡¡¡¡ÎÒÃÇ´Ó¿¼²ì¼¾¶ÈÓ¯ÀûºÍÏúÊÛˮƽ¿ªÊ¼×ÈÍþ¸ñµÄÑ¡¹Éʵս¡£ÕâÀï×ÈÍþ¸ñÒªÇó×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶Èÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû½ÏÉÏÒ»ÄêͬÆÚµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕýÊý¡£µ«¼¾¶ÈµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤Âʽϼ¾¶ÈµÄ»·±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊÊǸö¸üºÃµÄ»ù×¼£¬ÒòΪËü²»Êܼ¾½ÚÖÜÆÚÐԱ仯¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÒ²¼ìÑéÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû¹ýÈ¥¼¸¸ö¼¾¶ÈµÄͬÆÚÔö³¤Ë®Æ½¡£¶ÔÓÚ¼¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤Îª¸º»òÕßÍ£ÖͲ»Ç°µÄ¹ÉƱËû·Ç³£¾¯Ìè¡£ÎÒÃÇÑ¡¹ÉµÄµÚÒ»²½ÊÇÌô³öǰËĸöÁ¬Ðø²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È·Ö±ðµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂʾùΪÕýµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£
¡¡¡¡ÏúÊÛÔö³¤ÂÊ
¡¡¡¡ÏúÊÛÖ±½ÓÇý¶¯Ó¯Àû£¬Òò´Ë×ÈÍþ¸ñÒ²¶ÔÄÇЩÄܹ»Î¬³ÖÏúÊÛˮƽµÄ¹«Ë¾ÓëÏúÊÛÔö³¤µÄ¹«Ë¾¸ÐÐËȤ¡£ÎªÁËÑ¡³öÕâÑùµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬ËûÊ×ÏÈÒªÇóÏúÊ۵ļ¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý¡£³ýÁËÏúÊ۵ļ¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕýÍ⣬×ÈÍþ¸ñ»¹Ï²»¶ÄÇЩ¼¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂʵÝÔöµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£Îª×¥×¡Õâ¸öÒªËØ£¬ÎÒÃǽ«±È½Ï½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶ÈÓëÉÏÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶ÈµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊ¡£ÄÇЩÔö³¤ÂʳʵÝÔö״̬µÄ¹«Ë¾½«Ë³Àûͨ¹ýÎÒÃǵÄɸѡ¡£
¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡µÚ¶þ²¿·Ö£ºÓ¯ÀûµÄ³ÖÐøÐÔ
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñ¿´ºÃÄê¶ÈÓ¯Àû³ÖÐøÐÔÔö³¤µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£ÕâÀÎÒÃdzýÁËÒªÇó½üÁ½ÄêÀ´Ã¿¹ÉÓ¯ÀûÄê¶È¾ùµÝÔöÍ⣬»¹ÒªÇóÒ»¸ö¹«Ë¾×î½üËĸö¼¾¶È£¨¹ýÈ¥12¸öÔ£©À´Ã¿¹ÉÓ¯ÀûÓëÉÏÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþÄê¶ÈÏà±È»ù±¾³Öƽ»òÓÐÔö³¤¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÓÈÆäÐÀÉÍÄÇЩչÏÖ³ö¡°Ç¿¾¢¡±µÄ³¤ÆÚÔö³¤Ì¬ÊÆµÄ¹ÉÆ±¡£ÎªÑ¡³öÕâÀà¹ÉƱ£¬ÎÒÃÇÒªÇó½üÈýÄêÀ´µÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯ÀûÄê¾ùÔö³¤ÂÊÖÁÉÙΪ15%¡£
¡¡¡¡ÏúÊÛÔö³¤ÓëÓ¯ÀûÔö³¤
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñÔڱȽÏÏúÊÛÓëÓ¯ÀûÔö³¤Ê±ÓÐÒ»¸ö¹Ûµã¡£ËûÖ¸³öµ±Ó¯ÀûÔö³¤Î´ÄܸúÉÏÏúÊÛÔö³¤µÄ²½·¥Ê±£¬²»×ö½øÒ»²½Ñо¿¾Í²»Äܵóö¸ºÃæ½áÂÛ¡£¾ºÕùºÍ¼Û¸ñÕ½Ò²ÐíÊǸöÒòËØ£¬µ«Í¶×Ê¿ª·¢Ð²úÆ·µÄ¸ß¶î·ÑÓÃÓпÉÄÜÊǸö¸üºÃµÄ½âÊÍ¡£
¡¡¡¡ÁíÒ»·½Ã棬 Ëû¶ÔÓÚÄÇЩӯÀûÔö³¤ÂÊÔ¶³¬ÏúÊÛÔö³¤µÄ¾³¿öÓÈÆäÃô¸Ð¡£Ò²ÐíÒ»¸ö¹«Ë¾¶ÌÆÚÄÚÄÜͨ¹ýѹËõ³É±¾À´Ìá¸ßÓ¯Àûˮƽ£¬µ«ÏúÊÛ×îÖÕ»¹ÊÇÓ¯Àû³¤ÆÚÔö³¤µÄÇý¶¯ÒòËØ¡£Èç¹ûÄã·¢ÏÖÒ»¸ö¹«Ë¾Ó¯ÀûµÄ³¤ÆÚÔö³¤ÂÊÏÔÖø¸ßÓÚÏúÊÛÔö³¤£¬ÄÇôÕâ¾ÍÊǸöºìÉ«Ðźţ¬Ëü¾¯¸æÎÒÃǸÿ¼²ìÕâ¸ö¹«Ë¾Ôö³¤µÄ³ÖÐøÐÔÁË¡£µ«Ò»¸ö¹«Ë¾ÓÉÓÚÔËӪЧÂʵÄÌá¸ß¡¢²ÆÎñ¸Ü¸ËµÄ×÷Ó㬴ӶøÊ¹µÃÓ¯ÀûµÄÔö³¤ÂʸßÓÚÏúÊÛÔö³¤ÊÇ¿ÉÒÔ½ÓÊܵġ£¼øÓÚÕâ¸öÔ­Òò£¬ÒªÇóÏúÊÛÔö³¤¸ßÓÚÓ¯ÀûÔö³¤µÄÑ¡¹É±ê×¼ºÜ¿ÉÄܽ«ºÃ¹«Ë¾ÅųýÔÚÍâ¡£Òò´Ë£¬ÎÒÃÇÈ¡¶ø´úÖ®µÄ·½·¨ÊÇ£¬³ýÁËÓ¯ÀûÔö³¤Í⣬Æä¶ÔÓ¦µÄÏúÊÛÊÕÈë½üÈýÄêÀ´Äê¾ùÔö³¤ÂÊÖÁÉÙΪ15%¡£ÕâÑù£¬ÎÒÃǾÍÄÜÌô³öÄÇЩӯÀû¼°ÏúÊÛ¾ù³Ê½¡¿µÔö³¤µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£ÏÖÔÚ¾ÍÓÉÄã×Ô¼ºÈ¥½øÐÐÏÂÒ»²½µÄ·ÖÎöÁË£¬¿´Ä¿Ç°Õâ¸öÁ¼ºÃµÄÔö³¤Ì¬ÊÆÎ´À´ÄÜ·ñά³Ö¡£
¡¡¡¡Ó¯ÀûÔö³¤¶¯ÄÜ
¡¡¡¡ÏÂÒ»²½£¬×ÈÍþ¸ñÒªÕÒ³ö¾ß±¸Ó¯ÀûÔö³¤¶¯Á¦µÄ¹«Ë¾£¬°üÀ¨³¤ÆÚºÍ¶ÌÆÚÒªËØ¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñ±È½Ï×î½üÒ»¼¾¶ÈÓ¯ÀûµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊÓë֮ǰµÄÈý¸ö¼¾¶È½ÏÉÏÄêͬÆÚͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊÖ®¼äµÄ²î¾à¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñ¸ø³öÁËÒ»¸öÀýÍ⣬²¢²»½«½üÒ»¼¾¶Èÿ¹ÉÓ¯ÀûͻȻ´ó·ùÔö³¤µÄ¹«Ë¾ÅųýÔÚÍ⣬ÓÈÆäÕâÖÖÔö³¤Ë®Æ½ÓÐÍûά³ÖµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£Òò´Ë£¬ËûÒ²ÄܽÓÊÜÄÇЩ×î½üÒ»¸ö¼¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤Âʳ¬¹ý30%µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÒ²½«Ó¯ÀûµÄ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶ÈµÄͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊÓ볤ÆÚÔö³¤ÂÊÏà±È½Ï£¬Ï£ÍûÕÒ³ö¼¾¶ÈÔö³¤ÂʽϸߵĹ«Ë¾¡£Òò´Ë£¬ÎÒÃǵÄÑ¡¹ÉÒªÇó¼¾¶Èÿ¹ÉÓ¯ÀûµÄ¼¾¶Èͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂʸßÓÚÈýÄêÔö³¤ÂÊ¡£×é³É×ÈÍþ¸ñÑ¡¹ÉµÄ±ê×¼ÊÔͼ½«ÄÇЩÄÜ´ÓĿǰ¾­¼ÃÖÜÆÚºÍÊг¡»·¾³ÖлñÀûµÄ¹«Ë¾ÌôÑ¡³öÀ´¡£Ëæ×ž­¼ÃÒÔ¼°Êг¡»·¾³µÄ±ä»¯£¬ÕâЩ¹«Ë¾Ëù´¦µÄÐÐÒµÒ²»á·¢Éú±ä»¯¡£
¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡µÚÈý²¿·Ö£ºÊÐÓ¯ÂÊ
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñÁíÒ»¸öÑ¡¹ÉÒªµãÊÇÊÐÓ¯ÂÊ¡£Ëû±ÜÃâÄÇЩ´¦ÓÚ±ßÔµµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬¼´ÊÐÓ¯Âʹý¸ß»ò¹ýµÍµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£ÊÐÓ¯ÂʹýµÍµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬ËûÈÏΪÓÐÁ½ÖÖÀàÐÍ¡ª¡ªÄÇЩÕý¾­Àú²ÆÎñΣ»úºÍ´¦ÓÚ±»ºöÂÔÐÐÒµµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£ÔÚ×ÈÍþ¸ñ¿´À´£¬´¦ÓÚ²ÆÎñÀ§¾³µÄ¹«Ë¾·çÏÕÌ«´ó£¬Í¶×ʼÛÖµÄÑÒÔÆÀÅУ¬ÒòΪÕâЩ¹«Ë¾µÄ·çÏÕĨɱÁËÕâЩ¹ÉƱµÄDZÔÚͶ×ʼÛÖµ¡£±»ºöÂÔµÄ¹ÉÆ±£¬´ÓÁíÒ»½Ç¶ÈÀ´½²£¬ÊÇÒòΪ¹«Ë¾±¾Éí»òËù´¦ÐÐÒµµÄ²»ÀûÏûÏ¢ËùÖ¡£ÔÚijЩ°¸ÀýÖУ¬ÕâÖÖÒò¸ºÃæÒòËØÔâÊг¡¹ý¶É·´Ó¦µÄ¹«Ë¾ÍùÍùÓÐ×ų¬¹ýƽ¾ùˮƽµÄ¹À¼ÛÔö³¤Ç±Á¦¡£Ñо¿±íÃ÷£¬³¤ÆÚÀïÕâЩ¹ÉƱ×ÜÊÇÄÜսʤ¸ßÊÐÓ¯ÂÊµÄ¹ÉÆ±¡£È»¶ø£¬¸ù¾Ý×ÈÍþ¸ñÑ¡¹É±ê×¼µÄÐÔÖÊÀ´¿´£¬ÎÒÃǵĽá¹ûÊÇ·ñÄÜ»ñÈ¡µ½±»ºöÂԵĹ«Ë¾»¹´æÔںܴóÒÉÎÊ¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÈÏΪ£¬Èç¹û¹«Ë¾ÕæµÄÔÚ¸ø¶¨Ñ¡¹ÉµÄÔö³¤ÂÊÒªÇóµÄǰÌáÏÂÊÐÓ¯Âʷdz£µÍ£¬ÄãÓ¦¸ÃÁ¢¿ÌÈ¥Ñо¿¹«Ë¾µÄ×ʲú¸ºÕ®±í£¬¿´ÊÇ·ñ´æÔÚÎÊÌâ¡£ÊÐÓ¯Âʹý¸ßÊÇÁíÒ»¸ö¼«¶Ë£¬×ÈÍþ¸ñ¶ÔÕâЩ¹«Ë¾·Ç³£½ôÕÅ¡£ÕâÀà¹ÉƱÈç¹ûûÄÜ´ïµ½Êг¡¶ÔËüÃǹý¸ßµÄÆÚ´ý£¬½«ÃæÁÙ±»Í¶×ÊÕß·ßÅ­ÅׯúµÄÃüÔË¡£ÊÐÓ¯ÂÊÔ½¸ß£¬Êг¡¶Ô¹«Ë¾µÄÆÚ´ýÔ½¸ß£¬Ò»µ©ÎÞ·¨´ïµ½ÆÚ´ýˮƽÕâЩ¹ÉƱ¾ÍµøµÃÔ½²Ò¡£±È½ÏÀíÏëµÄÊÇÑ¡ÔñÊÐÓ¯Âʽӽü»òÂÔ¸ßÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùˮƽµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£ÎÒÃÇÑ¡¹É±ê×¼ÖÐÊÐÓ¯ÂʵÄÔ¼Êø°üÀ¨×îµÍˮƽ5.0£¨±ÜÃâ¿ÉÄÜÏÝÈëÀ§¾³µÄ¹«Ë¾£©£¬×î¸ß²»Äܳ¬¹ýÕû¸ö¹ÉƱÊг¡µÄÖÐֵˮƽµÄ1.5±¶¡£
¡¡¡¡Ïà¶Ô¼Û¸ñÇ¿¶È
¡¡¡¡ÔÚËûµÄÊéÖУ¬×ÈÍþ¸ñ»¨ÁË´óÁ¿Ê±¼äÌÖÂÛµ¥¸ö¹«Ë¾µÄ¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñ×ßÊÆºÍ¼Û¸ñÇ¿¶È¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñ×î»ù±¾µÄ·½·¨ÊDZȽÏÊг¡Óë¸ö¹ÉµÄ×ßÊÆ¡£ËûÏ£ÍûÕÒ³ö¸ö¹É×ßÊÆÊ¤¹ý´óÅÌµÄ¹ÉÆ±¡£¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñ¿ÉÄÜÉÏÕÇ£¬µ«¼ÙÈçÉÏÕÇ·ù¶ÈÂäºóÓÚ´óÅÌ£¬ÈÔ¿ÉÈÏΪÆä±íÏÖÂäºó¡£Òò´Ë£¬×ÈÍþ¸ñÅųýÕâЩ×ßÊÆÂäºóÓÚÕû¸öÊг¡µÄ¹ÉƱ£¬ÓÈÆäµ±Êг¡ÕûÌå±íÏÖÁ¼ºÃµÄʱºò¡£Ëû´ÓÖеóö½áÂÛ£¬Èç¹ûÒ»¸ö¹«Ë¾¹ûÕæÄÇÑùºÃ£¬ÄÇËüµÄ±íÏÖÆðÂë²»Ó¦ÊäÓÚÕû¸ö´óÅÌ¡£ÎÒÃǵÄÑ¡¹ÉÅųý½ü26ÖÜÒÔÀ´ÄÇЩ¼Û¸ñÏà¶ÔÇ¿ÊÆ²¢³¬¹ý±ê×¼ÆÕ¶û 500ƽ¾ùˮƽµÄ¹«Ë¾¡£
¡¡¡¡ÆäËüÌõ¼þ
¡¡¡¡Îª³ä·Ö˵Ã÷×ÈÍþ¸ñµÄÑ¡¹É·½·¨£¬ÎÒÃÇ»¹Ðè¶ÔÊý¾Ý×·¼ÓһЩÌõ¼þ£¬ÒÔ½øÒ»²½±£Ö¤ÎÒÃÇ×îÖÕ¿¼²ì¹«Ë¾µÄÐÅÏ¢ÍêÕûÐÔ¡£Ê×ÏÈÎÒÃÇÅųýµôÃÀ¹ú´æ´¢Æ¾Ö¤£¨ADS£©£¬¼´ÔÚÃÀ¹úÉÏÊеÄÍâ¹ú¹«Ë¾¡£ÎÒÃÇ»¹ÐèÅųýÒµÎñ·±ÔӵĽðÈÚ·þÎñ¼°·¿µØ²úÐÐÒµµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬ÕâÀ๫˾ͨ³£°üÀ¨·â±ÕʽµÄ¹²Óлù½ð£¬ÒÔ¼°·¿µØ²úͶ×ÊÐÅÍй«Ë¾¡£×îºó£¬Ñ¡¹É·½·¨±ê×¼¿¼ÂÇÁËͶ×ÊÓÚȱ·¦Á÷¶¯ÐÔ£¨Èճɽ»Á¿Ïà¶Ô½ÏµÍ£©µÄ¹ÉƱʱ¿ÉÄÜ»áÓöµ½µÄÀ§ÄÑ¡£ËäÈ»×ÈÍþ¸ñÈÏΪһ°ãÀ´ËµÍ¶×ÊÕß²»»áÔâÓöÁ÷¶¯ÐÔÎÊÌ⣬µ«ÎÒÃÇ×îºÃ»¹Êǹ涨һ¸öÈճɽ»Á¿µÄ×îµÍˮƽ¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÑ¡¹É±ê×¼ÔËÓðٷֱÈÅÅÃû£¬¼´ÔÚÒ»¸ö¸ø¶¨Êý¾Ý¿â·¶³ëÄÚ £¬½«ÏàÓ¦Êý¾Ý½øÐÐÅÅÁС£ÕâÖÖ·½·¨ÒªÇó¹«Ë¾Æ½¾ùÔ³ɽ»Á¿£¨ÒÔ×î½üÈý¸öÔÂΪ»ù´¡£©¾ÓÕûÌåǰ75%¡£
¡¡¡¡Ïà¹ØÒòËØ
¡¡¡¡Í¨³££¬ÎÒÃÇËùÑ¡µÄ¹ÉƱ¶àÊýÕý´¦ÓÚÆðÅܵãλÖöø²¢·ÇÖÕµã¡£Ëæ×ÅÊý¾Ý±»É¸Ñ¡³öÀ´£¬ÎÒÃÇ»¹Ó¦¸ÃÓÃÆäËü×ÈÍþ¸ñÈÏͬµÄÏà¹Ø·½·¨½øÒ»²½¼ìÑéÕâЩ¹ÉƱ¡£
¡¡¡¡Õ®Îñˮƽ
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñÈÏΪ¶ÔÄÇЩ¸ºÕ®Ë®Æ½¹ý¸ßµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬Í¶×ÊÕß²»Ó¦»¨Ì«¶à¾«Á¦È¥¹Ø×¢¡£¸ß¸ºÕ®Âʼ´Òâζן߷çÏÕ£¬ÒòΪËüÃÇÓëÀûÏ¢·ÑÓÃÏà¹ØµÄ¹Ì¶¨³É±¾Ì«¸ß¡£Ò»¸ö¹«Ë¾ºÏÀíµÄ¸ºÕ®ÂÊˮƽÓ빫˾Ëù´¦ÐÐÒµ¸ß¶ÈÏà¹Ø£¬ËùÒÔ¹«Ë¾¸ºÕ®ÂÊ×îºÃÓëÐÐҵƽ¾ùˮƽÏà±È½Ï¡£
¡¡¡¡¼Û¸ñ±íÏÖ
¡¡¡¡×ÈÍþ¸ñ´Ó²»ÂòÄÇЩ¼Û¸ñ´´ÐÂµÍµÄ¹ÉÆ±¡£Ëû·Ç³£Ì¹°×µÄ˵ËûÖ»¹ØÐļ۸ñ´¦ÓÚÉÏÑï״̬µÄ¹ÉƱ£¬ÓÈÆäÊÇÄÇЩÊÜÓ¯ÀûÒâÍâÔö³¤¹«¸æµÄ´Ì¼¤¶ø¼Û¸ñ×ߏߵĹɯ±¡£ÄÇЩͨ¹ý×ÈÍþ¸ñɸѡµÄ¹ÉƱÔÚËûµÄ¸ß¶È¹Ø×¢·¶Î§ÄÚ¡£Ò»µ©ÕâЩ¹«Ë¾¹«²¼¼¾±¨£¬ËûÂíÉÏ¿ªÊ¼ÊµÊ©Á½¸ö²½Öè¡£Ê×ÏÈ£¬Ôڲο¼ÁËÐµļ¾¶È»òÄê¶ÈÊý¾Ýºó£¬¿´ÕâЩ¹«Ë¾ÊÇ·ñÈÔÈ»Äܱ£ÁôÔÚËûµÄ¹Ø×¢·¶Î§ÄÚ¡£½ÓÏÂÀ´£¬Ëû±ã¿ªÊ¼Ñо¿¹ÉƱÔÚ¹«¸æÈյļ۸ñ×ßÊÆ¡£Ó¯Àû¹«²¼ºóµÄ¼Û¸ñ±íÏÖ¿ÉÒÔ×÷ΪºâÁ¿Êг¡¶ÔÐÂÏûÏ¢·´Ó³µÄ²âÁ¿ÒÇ¡£ÈôÏûÏ¢¹«²¼ºó¼Û¸ñϵø£¬Ôò˵Ã÷Ó¯Àûδ´ïµ½Êг¡Ô¤ÆÚ¡£Ñо¿±íÃ÷£¬¹ûÕæ³öÏÖÕâÀà×´¿ö£¬Ôò´Ë´Î¶Ô¹É¼ÛµÄ´òѹÐγɵĸºÃæÓ°Ïì¿ÉÄܳÖÐøÒ»Äê¡£¼øÓÚÕâ¸öÔ­Òò£¬×ÈÍþ¸ñÑ¡Ôñ²»È¥ÄæÊжøÐУ¬Ëû½«ÄÇЩ×î½ü¼¾±¨¹«²¼ºó¹É¼ÛÏÔÖøÏµøµÄ¹«Ë¾ÅųýÔÚÍ⡣ͬÑù£¬Èô±¨¸æ½á¹û¸ßÓÚÊг¡Ô¤ÆÚ£¬Ôò»áÔڽϳ¤Ê±ÆÚÄڶԹɼ۲úÉúÕýÃæÓ°Ïì¡£
¡¡¡¡ÄÚ²¿ÈËÐÐΪ
¡¡¡¡Í¨³£×ÈÍþ¸ñ¶ÔÓÚÄÚ²¿ÈË´óÁ¿Âô³ö¹ÉƱµÄÐÅÏ¢±Èȱ·¦ÄÚ²¿ÈËÂò½ø¸üΪ¹Ø×¢¡£×ÈÍþ¸ñÒÔ×î½üÈý¸öÔÂÀ´ÄÚ²¿ÈËÔ±ÂòÂô¹ÉƱµÄÐÐΪ×÷ΪDZÔÚµÄÂòÂôÐźšª¡ªÈý¸öÄÚ²¿ÈËÂò½ø¼´Òâζ×ÅÂòÈëÐźţ¬·´Ö®ÔòΪÂô³öÐźš£ËûÏ£ÍûÕâ¸öÐźűíÏַdz£Ò»Ö£¬¼´Ò»¸öÂòÈëÐźÅÖÐÖÁÉÙÓÐÈý¸öÂò½ø£¬Ã»ÓÐÂô³ö£¬»òÒ»¸öÂô³öÐźÅÖÁÉÙÈý¸öÂô³ö£¬Ã»ÓÐÂòÈëÏÖÏó¡£ËäÈ»¹ÉƱͶ×ÊÕßȷʵӦ¸ú×ÙÄÚ²¿È˵ÄÂòÂôÐÐΪ£¬µ«ÕâÀàÊý¾Ý±ØÐ뺭¸Ç½üÁù¸öÔÂÒÔÀ´µÄÇé¿ö¡£Ò»Ð©ÍøÂçÈçMSNµÄ»õ±ÒÖÐÐÄ»á×·×Ù½üÈý¸öÔÂÀ´µÄÄÚ²¿ÈËÐÐΪ¡£
¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡½áÂÛ£º
¡¡¡¡ÔËÓÃÈκÎÒ»¸öÑ¡¹É²ßÂÔ¶¼Ö»ÊÇÎÒÃÇͶ×ʵĵÚÒ»²½£¬ÕâÒ»µãÎÒÃDZØÐëÃú¼ÇÔÚÐÄ¡£Âí¶¡.×ÈÍþ¸ñµÄÑ¡¹ÉÔ­Ôò°ïÖúÎÒÃǽÒʾËùÑ¡¹«Ë¾Ó¯Àû¼°ÏúÊ۵ĸßÔö³¤ÐÔ£¬ÊÐÓ¯ÂÊÏà¶ÔÓÚÕû¸öÊг¡Ë®Æ½µÄºÏÀíÐÔ£¬ºÍÖµµÃ¹Ø×¢µÄ¹É¼ÛÏà¶ÔÇ¿ÊÆ¡£
¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È(Q1)ÓëÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È(Q5)Ö®¼äÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àûͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* ÉÏÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q2£©ÓëÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È£¨Q6£©Ö®¼äÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àûͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* ÉÏÉÏÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q3£©ÓëÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È£¨Q7£©Ö®¼äµÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àûͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* Èý¼¾¶È֮ǰһ¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q4£©ÓëÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È£¨Q8£©Ö®¼äµÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àûͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È(Q1)ÓëÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È(Q5)Ö®¼äÏúÊÛÊÕÈëͬ±ÈÔö³¤ÂÊΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È(Q1)½ÏÈ¥Äêͬ¼¾¶È(Q5)µÄÏúÊÛÔö³¤ÂʸßÓÚÉÏÒ»²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q2£©½ÏÈ¥ÄêͬÆÚ£¨Q6£©µÄÔö³¤ÂÊ¡£
¡¡¡¡* ×î½ü12¸öÔµÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû²»µÍÓÚÆäÉÏÒ»²ÆÕþÄ꣨Y1£©Ë®Æ½
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþÄê(Y2)µÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû²»µÍÓÚÆäÉÏÒ»²ÆÕþÄ꣨Y2£©Ë®Æ½
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþÄê(Y2)ÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû²»µÍÓÚÆäÉÏÒ»²ÆÕþÄ꣨Y3£©Ë®Æ½
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÈýÄêÀ´Ã¿¹ÉÓ¯ÀûÁ¬ÐøÄê¾ùÔö³¤ÂÊ´óÓÚ»òµÈÓë15%
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÈýÄêÀ´ÏúÊÛÊÕÈëµÄÄê¾ùÔö³¤ÂÊ´óÓÚ»òµÈÓë15%
¡¡¡¡* ½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q1£©µÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû½ÏÈ¥ÄêͬÆÚ£¨Q5£©µÄÔö³¤ÂʸßÓÚÉÏÈý¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È(Qs 2-4)µÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû½ÏÒ»ÄêǰͬÆÚÈý¼¾¶È(Qs 6-8)µÄÔö³¤ÂÊ£»»ò½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q1£©µÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû½ÏÈ¥ÄêͬÆÚ£¨Q5£©µÄÔö³¤ÂÊ´óÓÚµÈÓÚ30%
¡¡¡¡* ½üÒ»¸ö²ÆÕþ¼¾¶È£¨Q1£©Ï¡ÊͺóµÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯Àû½ÏÈ¥ÄêͬÆÚ£¨Q5£©µÄÔö³¤ÂʸßÓÚ½üÈýÄêÀ´Ï¡ÊͺóµÄÿ¹ÉÓ¯ÀûÔö³¤ÂÊ¡£
¡¡¡¡* ÊÐÓ¯ÂʸßÓÚ5£¬µ«µÍÓÚÕû¸öÊг¡ÖÐֵˮƽµÄ1.5±¶
¡¡¡¡* ½ü26ÖÜÀ´¼Û¸ñÏà¶ÔÇ¿¶ÈΪÕý
¡¡¡¡* ÅųýÃÀ¹ú´æÍÐÆ¾Ö¤
¡¡¡¡* ÀàÊôÒµÎñ·±ÔӵĽðÈÚ·þÎñºÍ·¿µØ²úÐÐÒµµÄ¹«Ë¾ÅųýÔÚÍâ
¡¡¡¡* ×î½üÈý¸öÔÂÀ´Æ½¾ù½»Ò×Á¿¾ÓÊг¡Ç°75%
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®Îå)ÂÞÀ¼£®»³À(Roland Whitridge)


ÂÞÀ¼£®»³À(Roland Whitridge)
¼ÛÖµ³É³¤Í¶×ÊÑ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡ÂÞÀ¼£®»³À(Roland Whitridge)ÉúÓÚ1938Ä꣬ÔÚ1984Äê½ÓÕÆ´÷ά£®°ü²¼É­(David L. Babson¡¡& Co.)µÄ°ü²¼É­¼ÛÖµ»ù½ð(Babson Value Fund)£¬ÖÁ1996ÄêÖ¹£¬°ü²¼É­¼ÛÖµ»ù½ðµÄ×ܱ¨³êÂÊÔÚËùÓгɳ¤/ÊÕÒæÐÍÀà¹É»ù½ðÖУ¬²»ÂÛÒÔ3Äê¡¢5Äê¼°10ÄêÆÚÀ´±È½Ï£¬ÅÅÃû½ÔÔÚǰ10ÃûÖ®ÄÚ£¬²Ù×÷¼¨Ð§×¿Öø£»1999Äê5ÔÂÂÞÀ¼£®»³ÀÒòÄêÊÂÒѸߣ¬½«»ù½ð¾­ÀíµÄְλ´«¸øÏÖÈξ­ÀíÈ˰²¶«ÄᣮÂíÀ­Âí¿Ë(Anthony Maramarco)£¬ÐÂÈξ­ÀíÈËÈÔ³ÐÏ®ÂÞÀ¼£®»³Àһֱ³É¹¦µÄÑ¡¹É·½·¨£¬¼´Ê¹ÔÚ¹ÉÊÐ´óµøµÄ2000Ä꣬°ü²¼É­¼ÛÖµ»ù½ðµÄÄ걨³êÂÊÈÔÓÐ9.06%£¬´ó·ù³¬Ô½S&P500Ö¸Êý±íÏÖ´ï18.21%£¬ÏÔ¼ûÂÞÀ¼£®»³ÀµÄͶ×Ê·½·¨£¬Äܹ»Àú¾Ã²»Ë¥¡£

¡¡¡¡´÷ά£®°ü²¼É­¹«Ë¾ÔçÔÚ1940Äê¾Í³ÉÁ¢£¬ÊÇÃÀ¹úÀúÊ·ÓÆ¾ÃµÄͶ×ʹËÎÊÖ®Ò»£¬Ä¿Ç°ÒѳÉΪÂéÖÝÏ໥ÈËÊÙ±£ÏÕ¹«Ë¾(Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company)µÄ×Ó¹«Ë¾£¬¹ÜÀí×ʽðÓâ600ÒÚÃÀÔª¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º

¡¡¡¡ÂÞÀ¼£®»³ÀËäÈ»±»ÊÓΪ¼ÛÖµÐÍͶ×ÊÕߣ¬µ«ÆäͶ×ʹý³ÌÖеÄÑ¡¹É·½Ê½£¬ÈÔ¿¼Âdzɳ¤ÐÔÎªÖØÒªÒòËØ£¬²¢ÇÒ¿ÉÊÓΪÊг¡µÄÏà·´Òâ¼û·¨µÄͶ×Êģʽ£»ÒÔÏÂΪÆäÑ¡¹ÉʱËùÓõÄÖ¸±ê£º

Ŀǰ±¾Òæ±ÈµÍÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
¹«Ë¾Ä¿Ç°±¾Òæ±ÈºÍ¹ýÈ¥15ÄêÆ½¾ùÖµ±È½ÏÊÇ·ñÆ«µÍ£¬µ«¹ýÈ¥5Äê¼ÓȨ¼ÆËã
ĿǰÊмÛ/¾»Öµ±ÈµÍÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
¹«Ë¾Ä¿Ç°Êм۾»Öµ±ÈºÍ¹ýÈ¥15ÄêÆ½¾ùÖµ±È½ÏÊÇ·ñÆ«µÍ¡£
¹ÉÀûÊÕÒæÂÊÊÇ·ñ¸ßÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
Ô¤¹ÀÓ¯Óà³É³¤Âʵı仯
Ó¯Óà³É³¤¶¯ÄÜ£¬ÒÔÉÏÒ»¼¾Ç°12¸öÔµÄÓ¯ÓàÊýÖµºÍ×î½üÒ»¼¾Ç°12¸öÔµÄÓ¯ÓàÊýÖµ×ö±È½Ï¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾Ó¯ÓàÊý×ÖÊÇ·ñ³¬³ö·ÖÎöʦµÄÔ¤¹ÀÖµ¡£
²»Ôö×ʵÄÇé¿öÏ£¬Ó¯Óà¿ÉÒÔ³ÖÐø³É³¤¶à¾Ã£¿¼´ÊÇÒÔÔÙͶ×ÊÂÊ¡¾(ÿ¹ÉÓ¯Óà¼õȥÿ¹ÉÏÖ½ð¹ÉÏ¢)³ýÒÔÿ¹É¾»Öµ¡¿ºâÁ¿ÆóÒµµÄÓ¯Óà³ÖÐø¡£
ÅäÏ¢ÂÊ(Dividend-payout Ratio)ÓúµÍÓúºÃ¡£
´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚÂÞÀ¼£®»³ÀµÄ·½·¨ÖеڰËÏîÇ£Éæµ½µÄÊý¾ÝÎÞ·¨ÆÕ±éÐÔÈ¡µÃ£¬Òò´Ë±¾ ϵͳÆä·½·¨Ê¹ÓÃ֮˳ÐòÉÔ×÷¸ü½ø³ÌÐòÈçÏ£º

Ŀǰ±¾Òæ±È(P/ER)<Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
Ŀǰ¹É¼Û¾»Öµ±È(P/BR)<Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
¹ÉÀûÊÕÒæÂÊ>Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ
Ŀǰ±¾Òæ±È(P/ER)<ÀúÊ·±¾Òæ±ÈµÄƽ¾ùÖµ
Ŀǰ¹É¼Û¾»Öµ±È(P/BR) <ÀúÊ·¹É¼Û¾»Öµ±ÈµÄƽ¾ùÖµ
Ô¤¹ÀÓ¯Óà³É³¤ÂÊ£¬Ñ¡È¡Ç°50%µÄ¹«Ë¾
×î½ü4¼¾Ó¯Ó࣬ѡȡǰ50%µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£
ÔÙͶ×ÊÂÊѡȡǰ50%µÄ¹«Ë¾¡£¡£
ÿ¹ÉÏÖ½ð¹ÉÏ¢/ÿ¹ÉÓ¯Óàѡȡ×îµÍµÄ50%µÄ¹«Ë¾.
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

(Ê®Áù)ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ (Thomas J. McHugh)


ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ (Thomas J. McHugh)
ÖдóÐͳɳ¤¹É Ñ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ(Thomas J. McHugh)ÊÇÃÀ¹úÀÏÅÆµÄ³É³¤ÐÍ×ʲú¹ÜÀí¸ßÊÖ£¬Í¶×ʾ­Àú³¤´ï40ÄêÒÔÉÏ£¬ÔøÎªÃÀ¹úÖøÃûµÄÆ¤ÌØ¿Ï¼Ò×å(Pitcairn Family)¹ÜÀí×ʲú´ï22Ä꣬²¢´ú±íÆ¤ÌØ¿Ï¼Ò×å³öÈÎÆ¥×ȱ¤Æ½°å²£Á§¹«Ë¾(PPG£ºPittsburgh Plate Glass Co.)µÄ¶­Ê£¬ÓÉÓÚ¹ÜÀíµÄ×ʲúÓÐ80%½ÔÊÇΪ±£³Ö¾­ÓªÈ¨µÄ³Ö¹É£¬²Ù×÷¿Õ¼ä²»´ó£¬µ«ÆÚ¼ä·ÇPPGµÄ×ʽðÓÉ5000ÍòÃÀÔª³É³¤ÖÁ6ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬»ñÀû´ï11±¶£¬ÖÁ1985ÄêÖ¹£¬¹ÜÀíµÄ×ʲú´ï12.5ÒÚÃÀÔªÒÔÉÏ£¬1986Äê´´Á¢Âó¿ËÐÞÁªºÏ¹«Ë¾(McHugh Associates ,Inc.)£¬¿ªÊ¼ÎªÍ¶×ÊÈ˹ÜÀí×ʲú£¬ÖÁ2001ÄêµÚÒ»¼¾µ×£¬¹ÜÀí×ʲú½ü10ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬¿Í»§°üº¬ÓÐÇ®µÄ¸»ÈË¡¢¾èÔù»ù½ð¡¢Ãñ¼ä»ù½ð»á¡¢ÍËÐݼƻ®£¬ÉõÖÁ×Ú½ÌÍÅÌå¡£ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞÔøÈζà¼ÒÉÏÊй«Ë¾¶­Ê£¬ÏÖÔÚÈÔÊÇThe Rouse Company(ÖªÃû·¿µØ²ú¼°ÁãÊÛÖÐÐľ­ÓªÒµÕß)¼°Philadelphia Consolidated Holding Corporation(±£Ïտعɼ¯ÍÅ)µÈ¹«Ë¾µÄ¶­Ê£¬ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞÔøÔÚ1974ÄêÒÔ3Íò5ǧÃÀԪͶ×ʹúͨ¹«Ë¾(Quotron£ºÃÀ¹úÖøÃûµç×Ó±¨¼Ûϵͳ³§ÉÌ)£¬ºóÀ´ÒÔ8000ÍòÃÀÔª³öÊÛ£¬»ñÀû2285±¶£¬×îΪÈ˳ÆÏÛ¡£

¡¡¡¡ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞµÄÑ¡¹ÉÌØÉ«ÒÔÊÐÖµ³¬¹ý3ÒÚÃÀÔªµÄÖдóÐͳɳ¤¹ÉΪÖ÷£¬²¢¼¯ÖÐͶ×ÊÔÚ×î¿´ºÃµÄ20~30Ö§¸ö¹É£¬Ç¿µ÷¹«Ë¾±ØÐèÒªÓг¤ÆÚµÄÓÅÁ¼ÓªÔ˼Ǽ£¬Ò²ÒòÎªÔøÈζà¼Ò¹«Ë¾¶­ÊµÄÔµ¹Ê£¬ËûÌØ±ð×¢ÖØ¹«Ë¾µÄ¾­Óª½×²ãÊÇ·ñÓÐÄÜÁ¦Ê¹¹«Ë¾³ÖÐø»ñÀû£¬ËûµÄÃûÑÔÊÇ"³ý·ÇÄãÓÐÇ¿Á¦µÄ¾­Óª¹ÜÀí£¬·ñÔòÄã²»»áÓкõÄͶ×Ê"(Unless you have a strong management£¬you don't have a good investment)£¬ÐÎ³ÉÆäÌØÓеÄͶ×Ê·ç¸ñ¡£

×¢£º±¾Ä£¿éÖ÷ÒªÊý¾ÝÀ´Ô´ÎªMcHugh Associates ,Inc.ÍøÕ¾¼°ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ½ÓÊÜÃÀ¹úýÌåµÄר·ÃÊý¾Ý¡£

Ͷ×ʳÌÐò£º
¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£º

ÔÚ¼ÛÖµÏß(Value Line)Êý¾Ý¿â4000¼Ò¹«Ë¾ÖУ¬Ñ¡Ôñ×ÜÊÐÖµ´óÓÚ3ÒÚÃÀÔªµÄ¹«Ë¾( We want companies that have a market capitalization of at least $300 million)¡£
¹ýÈ¥5ÄêÆ½¾ù¹É¶«È¨Ò汨³êÂÊÖÁÉÙ15% (We want companies that have a return on equity over the last five years of at least 15% )¡£
¹ýÈ¥10ÄêÓ¯ÓิºÏ³É³¤ÂʸßÓÚ12% (We want companies that have grown over the last ten years at a 12%compounded rate in earnings)¡£
ÓªÔ˵ÄÒ»¹áÐÔ£º¹ýÈ¥10Äê»ñÀû³É³¤µÄÄê¶ÈÖÁÉÙ8Äê (We want consistency, in that we insist on the earnings being up for at least eight of the last ten years)¡£
ÓÅÒìµÄÓªÒµÀûÒæÂÊ (Demonstrate superior operating margins)¡£
Ç¿Á¦µÄ²ÆÎñ±¨±í (Have a strong balance sheet)¡£
ÕýÃæµÄ×ÔÓÉÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿ (More cash flow than needed to reinvest in the business)¡£
¡¡Âò½ø±ê×¼£º

±¾Òæ±ÈµÍÓÚÊг¡Æ½¾ùÖµµÄ1.5±¶ (We will not pay more than a 50% premium over the market for any of the stocks we are going to buy)¡£

´óʦѡ¹É±¨¸æµÄʹÓ÷½·¨£º

¡¡Ñ¡¹É±ê×¼£ºÓÉÓÚÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞÒÔ¼ÛÖµÏß(Value Line)Êý¾Ý¿â4000¼Ò¹«Ë¾Îª³õʼÑù±¾£¬ÔÚ×ÜÊÐÖµ·½Ãæ×÷ÏÞÖÆ£¬¶Ô½á¹ûÓ°Ïì²»´ó.

×î½ü5ÄêÆ½¾ù¹É¶«È¨Ò汨³êÂÊ > 15%¡£
×î½ü10ÄêÓ¯ÓิºÏ³É³¤ÂÊ > 12%¡£
×î½ü10Äê»ñÀû³É³¤µÄÄê¶ÈÖÁÉÙ8Äê¡£
×î½ü5ÄêÆ½¾ùÓªÒµÀûÒæÂÊ > Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üÒ»¼¾¸ºÕ®±ÈÀý < Êг¡Æ½¾ùÖµ¡£
×î½üËļ¾×ÔÓÉÏÖ½ðÁ÷Á¿ > 0¡£
¡¡Âò½ø±ê×¼£ºÔ¤¹À±¾Òæ±È < Êг¡Æ½¾ù±¾Òæ±È*1.5¡£
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

¸ßÉîÀíÂÛÊDZØÒªÌõ¼þµÄǰÌá


ÒýÓÃ:
Ô­ÌûÓÉ dyne1018 ÓÚ 2008-5-19 21:21 ·¢±í
ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ (Thomas J. McHugh)
ÖдóÐͳɳ¤¹É Ñ¡¹É·¨Ôò

±³¾°£º
¡¡¡¡ÌÀÂêÊ¿£®Âó¿ËÐÞ(Thomas J. McHugh)ÊÇÃÀ¹úÀÏÅÆµÄ³É³¤ÐÍ×ʲú¹ÜÀí¸ßÊÖ£¬Í¶×ʾ­Àú³¤´ï40ÄêÒÔÉÏ£¬ÔøÎªÃÀ¹úÖøÃûµÄÆ¤ÌØ¿Ï¼Ò×å(Pitcairn Family ...

TOP

ÀÏʦ Ãæ¶ÔÕâô¶à²ÆÎñÃû´ÊºÍÊý¾ÝÎÒ¸ÐÕæµÄºÜÍ·ÌÛ°¡
Äܲ»ÄܰÑÄãµÄÑо¿³É¹û¹«²¼Ò»Ï ½ñÄê¾ßÓÐͶ×ʼÛÖµµÄ¹ÉƱÓÐÄö°¡
»ò·ÖÏíÒ»ÏÂÄãµÄ¹ÉƱ³Ø°¡

TOP

ÒýÓÃ:
Ô­ÌûÓÉ wubing2004 ÓÚ 2008-5-20 13:10 ·¢±í
ÀÏʦ Ãæ¶ÔÕâô¶à²ÆÎñÃû´ÊºÍÊý¾ÝÎÒ¸ÐÕæµÄºÜÍ·ÌÛ°¡
Äܲ»ÄܰÑÄãµÄÑо¿³É¹û¹«²¼Ò»Ï ½ñÄê¾ßÓÐͶ×ʼÛÖµµÄ¹ÉƱÓÐÄö°¡
»ò·ÖÏíÒ»ÏÂÄãµÄ¹ÉƱ³Ø°¡
ʦ¸µÁì½øÃÅ  ÐÞÐп¿×ÔÒÑ  

ÊÜÈÃËûÈËÖ®Óã  ²»Èç×Ô¼ºÑ§²¶Óã
±¾Ìû×î½üÆÀ·Ö¼Ç¼
  • Îçºóºì²è ÌåÁ¦ +30 ÎÒºÜÔÞͬ 2008-5-22 23:48
  • dyne1018 ÌåÁ¦ +6 ÔÞͬ! Ͷ×ÊÕßÈôÏë»ñÈ¡³¤ÆÚµÄ³É¹¦£¬×îºÃÊǶ 2008-5-20 22:56

TOP

»Ø¸´ 161Â¥ µÄÌû×Ó


ÆäʵÈôÊDz»Ô¸ºÍÅóÓÑÃÇ·ÖÏí£¬Ò²²»»áÔÚÕâÀï·ÑÁ¦µÄ·¢Ìû£¬
·¢Ìû¿´ÉÏÈ¥ÇáËÉ£¬µ«ÒªÐ´Ò»Ð©»òÊÇËѼ¯Ò»Ð©ÕæÕý¿ÉÒÔÈÃÈËÓÐËù˼¿¼ÓÐËùÊÕ»ñµÄÌû×ÓÊǺÜÄѵġ£
¶øÇÒĿǰËäÈ»ÎÒ»¨Á˺ܶàʱ¼ä£¬µ«×öµÄÒ²ÊǼ«²»¹»µÄ¡£

×÷ΪͶ×ÊÕߣ¬À´µ½ÁËÕâ¸öÊг¡ÖУ¬ÈôÏë³ÖÐø»ñÀûµÄ»°
×Ô¼º¾Í±ØÐëÒªÓÐ×Ô¼ºµÄÀíÄ×Ô¼ºµÄ¹¤¾ß£¬»¹Òª³ÖÐø²»¶ÏµÄѧϰ
ÒòΪֻÓÐ×Ô¼º²ÅÄܶÔ×Ô¼ºµÄ×ʽð¸ºÔð¡£

ÍÆ¼ö¸ö¹ÉĿǰ»¹Ã»ÓдòË㣬
×îÖ÷ÒªÊÇÒòΪ×Ô¼º½ü¶Îʱ¼ä·Ç³£Ã¦
»¹À´²»¼°×ö¸üÉîÈëµÄÑо¿
Õâ¶Îʱ¼ä×Ô¼ºÒªÑ§Ï°Òª×ܽáµÄ¶«Î÷±È½Ï¶à£¬±§Ç¸Å¶
ÒÔºóÎÒ»áºÍ´ó¼Ò·ÖÏíµÄ¡£
±¾Ìû×î½üÆÀ·Ö¼Ç¼
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

»Ø¸´ 161Â¥ µÄÌû×Ó


ÈçºÎÆÀ¹ÀºÍÑ¡¹É£¬
Äã¿ÉÒԺúÿ´¿´72¡ª75£¬80£¬88¡ª89£¬114¡ª115Õ⼸¥µÄÌû×Ó£¬
ÄãÈôÄÜÕæÕýÄÍÐĵĿ´Í꣬Ïà±Ø¾Í²»»á¾õµÃÄÇÑùÄѵġ£

¼á³Öһϰɣ¬
ÎÒ±¾ÉíÊǹ¤³ÌÀàרҵ³öÉí£¬ÒÔǰºÍÕâЩ²ÆÎñÃû´ÊÒ²ÊDz»¸ÐðµÄ
±¾Ìû×î½üÆÀ·Ö¼Ç¼
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

±¾Ìû×îÖµµÃ¿´¿´µÄ¼¸²¿·Ö


С½áһϱ¾ÌûµÄÖØµã²¿·Ö£º
72¡ª75£¬
80£¬
88¡ª89£¬
114¡ª115Â¥£¬

ÈçºÎ¸ø¹«Ë¾¹ÀÖµ£º
http://www.chcj.net/thread-1027832-1-1.html
³£ÓòÆÎñÖ¸±ê£º
http://www.chcj.net/thread-1024330-1-1.html
±¾Ìû×î½üÆÀ·Ö¼Ç¼
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

TOP

תÌû£º¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÊý¾Ý·ÖÎö


¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÊý¾Ý·ÖÎö

ËùÎ½ÉÆÕ½Õߣ¬ÏÈΪ²»¿Éʤ£¬ÒÔ´ýµÐÖ®¿Éʤ¡£ZFÓ¦¸Ã±£Ö¤Ö¤È¯½»Ò׵Ĺ«Æ½¹«Õý£¬µ«²»»á±£Ö¤Ò»¶¨ÈÃÄã׬Ǯ¡£ÏÂÃæÊÇÎÒ¶Ô¼ÛֵͶ×ʵÄһЩÐĵã¬Ï£Íû¶Ô´ó¼ÒÓÐËù°ïÖú¡£
¡¡¡¡Ò»¡¢Ê²Ã´ÊǼÛֵͶ×Ê
¡¡¡¡±»ÓþΪ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÖ®¸¸µÄ¸ñÀ×¶òÄ·ÔÚÆäËùÖøµÄ¡¶Ö¤È¯·ÖÎö¡·ÖÐÖ¸³ö£¬¡°Í¶×ÊÊÇ»ùÓÚÏ꾡µÄ·ÖÎö£¬±¾½ðµÄ°²È«ºÍÂúÒâ»Ø±¨Óб£Ö¤µÄ²Ù×÷¡£²»·ûºÏÕâÒ»±ê×¼µÄ²Ù×÷¾ÍÊÇͶ»ú¡£¡±¸ñÀ×¶òÄ·»¹Ö¸³ö£¬¾ö¶¨ÆÕͨ¹É¼ÛÖµµÄÒòËØÊǹÉÏ¢Âʼ°Æä¼Ç¼¡¢Ó¯ÀûÄÜÁ¦£¬×ʲú¸ºÕ®±íµÈÒòËØ¡£
¡¡¡¡°Ñ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÀíÂÛºÍʵ¼ù¼Ì³Ð·¢Õ¹µ½¼«ÖÁµÄÊÇÏÖ½ñÊÀ½çµÚ¶þ¸»ºÀµÄ°Í·ÆÌØ£¬ËûÓë¸ñÀ×¶òÄ·±ÈÆðÀ´¸ü²àÖØÓÚ¹«Ë¾µÄ³É³¤ÐÔ£¬²¢Ô¸ÒâΪ´Ë¸¶³öºÏÊʵļ۸ñ¡£
¡¡¡¡¼ÛֵͶ×ʵÄÒªµã¼òµ¥Ëµ¾ÍÊÇÒÔÏÂ4Ï
¡¡¡¡1£®¼¨ÓÅ
¡¡¡¡2£®³É³¤
¡¡¡¡3£®°²È«±ß¼Ê
¡¡¡¡4£®³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓÐ
¡¡¡¡¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÈÏΪÔÚij¸öʱ¿Ì¹«Ë¾ËùÄÚº¬µÄ¼ÛÖµÓ¦¸ÃÓиöÈ·¶¨µÄ·¶Î§¡£²¢ÇÒËæ×Ź«Ë¾¾ºÕùÁ¦µÄÉÏÉýϽµ¶ø²»¶ÏµÄÉÏÉýϽµ¡£ÎÒÃÇÓ¦¸ÃÏÈɸѡ³ö¾ºÕùÁ¦²»¶ÏÉÏÉýµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬ÅÐ¶ÏÆäÏÖÔڵļÛÖµ£¬È»ºó¼õÈ¥°²È«±ß¼Ê£¬µÍÓÚÕâ¸ö¼Û¸ñ¾Í¿ÉÒÔϾöÐÄÂòÈ룬×îºó³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓС£
¡¡¡¡¶þ¡¢¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÓë±ç֤ΨÎïÖ÷ÒåµÄ¹ØÏµ
¡¡¡¡¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕß±¾ÖÊÉϾÍÓ¦¸ÃÊÇÒ»¸ö³¹µ×µÄ±ç֤ΨÎïÖ÷ÒåÕß¡£¼ÛÖµ¾ÍÏñÎïÖʵĴæÔÚÐÔÒ»Ñù£¬ºÁÎÞÒÉÎÊÊǿ͹۴æÔڵġ£¼Û¸ñÊÇÆä±íÏñ£¬Êܹ©Çó¹ØÏµµÄÓ°ÏìÎ§ÈÆ¼ÛÖµÉÏϲ¨¶¯¡£
¡¡¡¡¸ñÀ×¶òÄ·¿ÉÄܸü¶àµÄÇ÷½üÓÚ¾ÉΨÎïÖ÷Ò壬ϲ»¶³ÖÓоø¶Ô¼Û¸ñ½ÏµÍµÄ¹É·Ý¡£°Í·ÆÌØÔò×Ô¾õ²»×Ô¾õµÄÓñçÖ¤µÄ˼ά¿´´ý¹«Ë¾µÄ¼ÛÖµ£¬Ëû¸üÇ÷ÏòÓÚÂòÈëÓоºÕùÁ¦ºÍ³É³¤ÐԵĹ«Ë¾¹ÉƱ¡£
¡¡¡¡×öΪ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÓ¦µ±ÇåÐѵÄÈÏʶµ½¼ÛÖµ²»ÊÇÒ»³É²»±äµÄ£¬ËüËæ×Ź«Ë¾µÄ¾­Óª×´¿ö¶ø²»¶ÏµÄ±ä¶¯×Å¡£
¡¡¡¡¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÓ¦µ±Á¦Õù¶Ô¹«Ë¾µÄ¹ýÈ¥¡¢ÏÖÔںͽ«À´¶¼×öµ½ÐÄÖÐÓÐÊý¡£µ±È»¸öÈ˵ÄÅжÏδ±ØºÍ½«À´µÄʵ¼ÊÇé¿öÏà·û¡£ÕâÐèÒª²»¶ÏµÄ¼ÓÇ¿×Ô¼ºµÄÐÅÏ¢ÊÕ¼¯Á¦¶È£¬ÈÕÒæÌá¸ß×Ô¼ºµÄרҵÅжÏÄÜÁ¦£¬ÒÔÇóÎÞÏ޵ĽӽüÊÂÊµÕæÏà¡£
¡¡¡¡Èý¡¢Êý¾Ý·ÖÎöÓë¼¼Êõ·ÖÎöµÄ¹ØÏµ
¡¡¡¡Ê×ÏȾÍÓ¦µ±Ã÷È·¹«Ë¾µÄ¼ÛÖµ×÷ΪÄÚÒò¾ö¶¨×Źɯ±¼Û¸ñ£¬¼Û¸ñÎ§ÈÆ×żÛÖµÊܹ©Çó¹ØÏµµÈÍâÒòµÄÓ°ÏìÉÏϲ¨¶¯¡£ÓÐʱºòÓÉÓÚ¶ñÒâ³´×÷»òͶ×ÊÀíÄîµÄÆ«²î£¬¹É¼ÛÀëÆä¼ÛÖµ²î¾àºÜÔ¶£¬Ê±¼äÒ²¿ÉÄܺܳ¤¡£µ«¼Û¸ñÖÕ»á»Øµ½Æä×ÔÉíµÄ¼ÛÖµÇø¼äÀï¡£ÉÙÊýׯ¼ÒÄæÌìÐÐÊ£¬Óë×ÔÈ»¹æÂÉ¿¹Õù£¬Ö»²»¹ý×ÔÈ¡ÃðÍö¶øÒÑ¡£
¡¡¡¡¶Ô¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕß¶øÑÔ£¬Êý¾Ý·ÖÎöÊÇÆðÖ÷µ¼ÐÔ×÷Óõ쬼¼Êõ·ÖÎö»ù±¾¿ÉÒÔ²»ÓÚ¿¼ÂÇ£¬¼´Ê¹ÒªÓÃÒ²ÊÇÆðÔöÇ¿¾ö²ßÐÅÐĵĸ¨Öú×÷Óõġ£¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÖ»¶Ô¹«Ë¾µÄ»ù±¾Ãæ¸ÐÐËȤ£¬¶ø²»Ð¼ÓÚÔ¤²â¹É¼ÛµÄδÀ´×ßÊÆ¡£»»¾ä»°Ëµ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÈÏΪ¼Û¸ñÆ«Àë¼ÛÖµÖáÏߵIJ¨¶¯·´Ó³ÁËÊг¡µÄÓÞ´À£¬¶øÊг¡ÓÞ´ÀµÄ³Ì¶ÈÊÇÎÞ·¨Ô¤¼ÆµÄ¡£
¡¡¡¡¼¼Êõ·ÖÎöÊÇÒòΪÕýºÃÔ¤²âµ½Êг¡µÄ×ßÊÆ¶øÓ®Àû£¬¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÔòÊÇÈÏʶµ½Êг¡µÄʧÎó¶ø»ñµÃ»Ø±¨¡£
¡¡¡¡Ôø¾­ÓÐÈËЦ»°¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÊÇäÈËÃþÏó£¬Ò²ÐíÕæÊÇÕâÑùµÄ¡£µ«ÖÁÉÙäÈËÃþµ½µÄÊÇÏóµÄÒ»²¿·Ö£¬¶àÃþ¼¸Ï»ò»¥Ï๵ͨϾÍÄÜÁ˽âÏóµÄ´óÖÂÂÖÀªÁË¡£¶øÓÐЩ´ÏÃ÷È˲»È¥¿´ÏóµÄ±¾Éí£¬Ïë½öƾ´óÏóÁôϵĽÅÓ¡¡¢ÆøÎ¶¡¢½ÐÉùÀ´ÍƲâÏ󾿾¹³¤µÄʲôÑù£¬Õâ²»¸úԵľÇóÓãÒ»ÑùµÄ½á¹û÷á¡£
¡¡¡¡ËÄ¡¢¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÓëÊýѧµÄ¹ØÏµ
¡¡¡¡Ê×ÏÈ̸ϸ´ÀûµÄÍþÁ¦¡£
¡¡¡¡°®ÒòË¹Ì¹Ôø¾­Ëµ:¸´ÀûÊÇÊÀ½çµÚ°Ë´óÆæ¹Û¡£ÆåÅÌÉÏ·ÅÃ×Á£µÄ¹ÊÊ´ó¼Ò¶¼¶úÊìÄÜÏêÁË£¬°Í·ÆÌØÒ²Êǽöƾ×ÅÿÄê°Ù·ÖÖ®¶þÊ®¼¸µÄÊÕÒæÂʶø³ÉΪһ´ú¹ÉÉñ¡£
¡¡¡¡¼ÛֵͶ×ʳɹ¦µÄ¹Ø¼ü¾ÍÊÇÎȶ¨¶ø³ÖÐøµÄÔö³¤¡£Ã¿ÄêµÄ³É³¤¿ÉÄÜÖ»ÊDz»ÆðÑ۵İٷÖÖ®¶þ¡¢ÈýÊ®£¬µ«ÀÛÔ»ýÀÛ£¬¾­¹ýÒ»¶Î½Ï³¤µÄʱ¼ä»Ø¹ýÍ·À´¿´¿´£¬¾ÍÊÇÒ»¸ö²»Ð¡µÄÊÕ»ñ¡£
¡¡¡¡Æä´Î̸ÏÂ¹ÉÆ±Í¶×ÊÖеĸÅÂÊ¡£
¡¡¡¡¸ÅÂʾÍÊÇijÖÖʼþ·¢ÉúµÄ¿ÉÄÜÐÔ´óС£¬¶øÇÒͨ¹ýʱ¼ä»ò´ÎÊýµÄ²»¶ÏÀÛ»ý£¬»á´ÓżȻÉÏÉýµ½±ØÈ»¡£
¡¡¡¡×÷Ϊһ¸öÀíÐÔµÄͶ×ÊÕß¾ÍÊÇÒªÕ¾µ½´ó¸ÅÂÊʼþÒ»±ß¡£¶ø×÷ΪÀíÐԵļÛֵͶ×ÊÕßÉõÖÁÏÈÒªÕ¾ÔÚ±ØÈ»µÄʼþÉÏ£¬Ëùνʤ±øÏÈʤ¶øºóÕ½¡£ÈËÀàµÄ·¢Õ¹Ç÷ÊÆÊÇÓÀÔ¶ÏòÉϵ쬵±È»Ç°½øµÄµÀ·²»ÊDZÊÖ±µÄ£¬¹ÉÊÐͬÑùÈç´Ë¡£¹ÉÊÐÖгäÂú×Ų»È·¶¨µÄÒòËØ£¬¶øÎ¨Ò»ÄÜÈ·¶¨µÄ¾ÍÊdz¤ÆÚÏòÉϵÄÇ÷ÊÆ¡£¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕß×ÔÈ»¶øÈ»µÄÓ¦¸ÃÑ¡ÔñÇ÷ÏòÓÚ³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓС£
¡¡¡¡×îºó˵ÏÂͶ×ÊÓëµ¼Êý¡£
¡¡¡¡µ¼Êý¼´º¯ÊýµÄ±ä»¯ÂÊ£¬Ëü¿ÉÖ±½Ó·´Ó³³öº¯Êý±ä»¯Ç÷ÊÆ¡£ÄÇô¶Ô¹ÉƱÇóϵ¼Êý»áµÃµ½Ê²Ã´½á¹ûÄÅ¡£¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÊÇÎ§ÈÆ¼ÛÖµÉÏϲ¨¶¯µÄ£¬´Ó³¤ÆÚ¿´¼Û¸ñºÍ¼ÛÖµÊÇͬÖáµÄ¡£¶Ô¹«Ë¾¼ÛÖµÇóϵ¼Êý¼´ÒýÆð¹«Ë¾¼ÛÖµ±ä¶¯µÄÒòËØÊÇÊ²Ã´ÄØ£¬ÎÒÃÇ¿ÉÒÔÈÏΪ¹«Ë¾¼ÛÖµµÄµ¼Êý¾ÍÊǹ«Ë¾µÄºËÐľºÕùÁ¦¡£ÒÀ´ËÀàÍÆ£¬¹«Ë¾ºËÐľºÕùÁ¦µÄµ¼Êý¾ÍÊǹ«Ë¾¹ÜÀí²ãµÄËØÖÊ£¬¹ÜÀí²ãËØÖʵĵ¼Êý¾ÍÊǹ«Ë¾ÖÎÀí½á¹¹£¬ÖÎÀí½á¹¹µÄµ¼Êý¾ÍÊǹ«Ë¾¹É¶«µÄËØÖÊ¡£ÓÐʲôÑùµÄ¹É¶«¾ÍÓÐʲôÑùµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬¶ÔÓÚÄÇЩÓɽðÈÚÍæ¼Ò¿ØÖƵĹ«Ë¾Ò»°ãͶ×ÊÕß»¹ÊDZ£³Ö¾àÀëΪºÃ¡£
¡¡¡¡Îå¡¢ÆÕͨ¹ÉÃñÈçºÎ½øÐмÛֵͶ×Ê
¡¡¡¡Òª½øÐмÛֵͶ×ÊÆäʵºÜ¼òµ¥£¬Æ½Ê±ÉÙ¿´µãKÏߣ¬¶à¹ØÐĹ«Ë¾µÄ»ù±¾Ãæ¡£¹ÉƱ²Ù×÷Éϼá³Ö¼¨ÓÅ¡¢³É³¤¡¢×ã¹»µÄ°²È«±ß¼Ê£¨µÍÊÐÓ¯ÂÊ£©¼°³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓУ¬ÄÇô»ù±¾ÉϾÍÁ¢ÓÚ²»°ÜÖ®µØÁË¡£Ê×ÏÈ£¬ÄãÒªÉèÁ¢Ò»Ð©É¸Ñ¡Ìõ¼þ£¬±ÈÈçÿ¹É¾»ÀûÈ󣬾»×ʲúÊÕÒæÂʵȡ£Ñ¡³öÖÁÉÙ¿´ÉÏÈ¥¼¨ÓŵĹ«Ë¾¡£ÖÁÓڳɳ¤ÐԺ͹ɼ۵ĹØÏµÔòÓù«Ê½£ºÔö³¤ÂÊ/ÊÐÓ¯ÂÊÀ´ºâÁ¿¡£Ôö³¤ÂÊ×îºÃ¶àÈ¡¼¸ÄêµÄ£¬×îÉÙÓ¦¸ÃÓÃÈ¥Ä꣬½ñÄêºÍÃ÷ÄêµÄƽ¾ùÖµ°É¡£Ò»°ãÀ´ËµµÃ³öµÄÊýÖµ´óÓÚ2µÄ¿ÉÓö¶ø²»¿ÉÇ󣬴óÓÚ1.5µÄÖØµã¹Ø×¢£¬ÖÁÉÙÒ²Ó¦¸Ã´óÓÚ1¡£ÔÚÕâЩÌõ¼þÑ¡³öµÄ¹«Ë¾ÖÐÔÙÈ¥³ý²¿·ÖͬÖÊ»¯¾ºÕù¼¤ÁÒ£¬ÇÒÈÕ³£Í¶Èë¾Þ´óµÄÐÐÒµ¡£Ò»°ã¶øÑÔ£¬Ó¦¸Ã¾¡Á¿±ÜÃâ½éÈë·ÄÖ¯¡¢º½¿Õ¹«Ë¾¼°ÆÕͨ¸Ö²ÄµÈÐÐÒµ¡£È»ºóÔÙÔÚÊ£ÓàµÄ¹«Ë¾ÖÐÑ¡³öÐÐÒµÁìÏȵģ¬ÖÁÉÙǰÈý£¬×îºÃ¹úÄÚ¡¢¹ú¼ÊµÚÒ»µÄ£¬ÓвúÆ·¶¨¼ÛȨµÄ£¬Î´À´Êг¡Ç°¾°Á¼ºÃµÄ£¬ÒÔ¼°Äܹ»³ä·ÖÀûÓÃÎÒ¹úÈËÁ¦¡¢×ÊÔ´¼°µØÀíÓÅÊÆµÄÆóÒµ¡£×ܶøÑÔÖ®Ó¦¸ÃÑ¡ÔñÄÇЩ¾ßÓÐ×Ô¼º¶ÀÌØµÄºËÐľºÕùÁ¦µÄÆóÒµ¡£
¡¡¡¡Í¶×ÊÕß¿ÉÒÔÑ¡ÔñһЩÖÚËùÖÜÖªµÄÀ¶³ï×÷ΪÐÐÒµ±ê¸Ë£¬°Ñ×Ô¼ºÑ¡³öÀ´µÄ¹ÉƱºÍËü½øÐбȽϣ¬Èç¹û×Ô¼ºÑ¡³öµÄ¹ÉƱÐÐҵǰ¾°±ÈÆä¿´ºÃ¶ø¹É¼ÛÓÖµÍÓÚ±ê¸Ë£¬ÄǾͿÉÒÔÂòÈë¡£·´Ö®£¬¾ÍÓ¦¸Ã³ÖÓÐÄÇЩ±ê¸ËÆóÒµ£¬¾ÍÏñµç×ÓͨѶÀàµÄÖÐÐËͨѶ£¬»úе¼Ó¹¤ÀàµÄÖм¯¼¯ÍÅ¡¢Õñ»ª¸Û»ú£¬¸Û¿ÚÔËÊäÀàÉϸۼ¯Ïä¡¢ÑÎÌï¸Û£¬¾ÆÀàµÄę́£¬Ò½Ò©ÀàµÄ¶«°¢°¢½º£¬Í¬ÈÊÌõȵȡ£
¡¡¡¡¶ÔÓÚÕâЩ¾­¹ýÉîÈëÁË½â¶øÓÅÑ¡³öÀ´µÄ¹ÉƱ£¬Ó¦¸Ã¼á¾öµÄ³ÖÓУ¬Ö±µ½Æä»ù±¾ÃæµÄ¸Ä±ä¡£

Áù¡¢Ò»°ãͶ×ÊÕßͶ×ʵÄÎóÇø
¡¡¡¡Ê×ÏÈ£¬¹ØÓÚ¼¨ÓŵÄÎóÇø
¡¡¡¡ÓÐÐí¶àͶ×ÊÕß˵ÎÒÂòµÄ¹ÉƱÿ¹ÉÊÕÒæÒ²²»´í°¡£¬Ôõô²»Õǰ¡¡£ÎÒÃÇËù˵µÄ¼¨ÓŲ¢²»ÊDz»´í¾Í¿ÉÒÔÁË£¬ÔÚÊг¡¾­¼ÃµÄÔ­Ò°ÖÐÖ»ÓÐ×îºÃµÄ²ÅÄÜÉú´æ¡£¼¨ÓÅÖ÷ÒªÖ¸µÄÊǹ«Ë¾µÄºËÐľºÕùÁ¦£¬ÒÔ¼°Æä¿É³ÖÐø·¢Õ¹µÄÄÜÁ¦¡£
¡¡¡¡ÒÔÖм¯¼¯ÍÅΪÀý£¬µ±¼¯×°ÏäÊг¡²»¾°ÆøµÄʱºò£¬Öм¯¿ÉÄÜ»¹ÔÚ¹¶ÑӲд­£¬¶øÆäËûµÄ³§É̲»ÊÇÍ˳ö¾ÍÊÇÈÃÖм¯Õа²ÁË¡£µÈ¼¯×°ÏäÐèÇóÉÏÀ´ÁË£¬Öм¯µÄ²úÄÜÒ²À©´óºÃÁË¡£03ÄêÖм¯ÀûÈóÔö³¤ÊÇÒòΪ¸Ö²Ä¼Û¸ñϽµ£¬³É±¾½µµÍ£¬04ÄêÀûÈóÔö³¤ÊÇÒòΪ¸Ö²Ä¼Û¸ñÉÏÕǼ¯×°Ïä¼Û¸ñÉÏÕÇ£¬Öм¯ÒòΪÓм۸ñ¾ö¶¨È¨Òò¶ø×óÓÒ·êÔ´£¬ÏÖÔÚËûµÄ¿àÄÕÊÇÒª¿ØÖƼ¯×°ÏäµÄÀûÈóÂÊ·ÀÖ¹ÆäËûÈË´À´ÀÓû¶¯£¬ÏÖÔÚ²»ÖªµÀÓÖÓм¸¼ÒÈ˼ÒÓÐÐÒÓÐÕâÖÖ·³ÄÕÄØ¡£Õâ²ÅÊÇÕæÕýµÄ¼¨ÓÅ¡£
¡¡¡¡Æä´Î£¬¹ØÓÚ³¤ÆÚͶ×ʵÄÎóÇø
¡¡¡¡»¹ÓÐÐí¶àÈË˵ÏÖÔÚÎÒѧ°Í·ÑÌØÀ²£¬³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓÐÁËij¸ö¹ÉƱÔõô»¹ÊDz»Ðа¡£¬Æäʵ¶ÔÓÚ¼ÛֵͶ×ÊÕß¶øÑÔÊ×ÒªµÄÊǶԹ«Ë¾µÄ¼ø±ð£¬È»ºóÔÚÓÐ×ã¹»µÄ°²È«±ß¼ÊµÄǰÌáϽéÈë¡£³¤ÆÚ³ÖÓиü¶àµÄÊǽá¹û¶ø²»½ö½öÊÇÊֶΡ£
¡¡¡¡ÍùÍùÐí¶àÈ˳¤ÆÚ³ÖÓÐij¸ö¹ÉƱֻÊÇÒòΪ¿÷±¾Á˶ø±§×¡²»·Å£¬Õâ¸ù±¾²»ÄÜËã×÷ÊÇÒ»ÖÖÀíÖǵÄͶ×ÊÐÐΪ¡£Ò»¸öÈËδÀ´ÊÇ·ñÓ¯ÀûÊÇ¿´ÏÖÔÚ³ÖÓкÎÖֹɯ±£¬¼°Î´À´¸Ã¹ÉƱµÄ×ßÊÆ¶øÈ·¶¨µÄ¡£¹ýÈ¥µÄ¿÷Ëð¶¼ÊdzÁû³É±¾£¬Ã»Á˾ÍûÁË£¬Ä㻹ӵÓÐÃÀºÃµÄδÀ´¡£
¡¡¡¡¾ÍÏóÂíÌ«¸£ÒôËù˵µÄ¡°·²ÊÇÓе쬻¹Òª¸øËû£¬Ê¹Ëû¸»×㣻µ«·²Ã»Óеģ¬Á¬ËûËùÓеģ¬Ò²Òª¶áÈ¥¡£¡±Ç¿ÊƹÉÍùÍùÒòΪÆäÇ¿ºáµÄºËÐľºÕùÁ¦£¬Ôì³ÉÓ®Õßͨ³ÔµÄ¾ÖÃæ£¬Ð¸ߺóÃæ»¹´´Ð¸ߡ£¶ÔÓÚÈõÊÆ¹É£¬ÎÒÃDz»Ó¦»ÃÏë¾ÈÊÀÖ÷µÄ³öÏÖ¡£¼´Ê¹ÓУ¬°´¹úÄÚĿǰµÄÇé¿ö¿´£¬´ó¶àÊýÈÔÊÇÅû×ÅÌìʹÍâÒµĶñħ¡£
¡¡¡¡×îºó£¬¹ØÓÚ¸úׯµÄÎóÇø
¡¡¡¡Ðí¶àͶ×ÊÕßϲ»¶ÍùÓÐׯ¼ÒµÄ¹ÉƱÀï×꣬ÈÏΪׯ¼Ò³ÔÈ⣬×Ô¼ºÄܸúןȿÚÌÀ¡£Æäʵ×öׯ¶Ô×öׯµÄ×ʽð±¾ÉíûÓжà´óºÃ´¦£¬×öׯµÄÀûÈóÖ÷ÒªÌåÏÖÔÚÀÏÊó²ÖÄÇÒ»¿é¡£¿´¿´¼¸¸öǿׯ¹ÉµÄ±©²ÖºÍ´ó¶àÊý֤ȯ¹«Ë¾×ÔÓªµÄÓ¯Àûˮƽ¾ÍÖªµÀÁË¡£ÒòÎª×ø×¯´Ó¿ªÊ¼ÏÂÊÖµÄÄ¿±ê¾ÍÊÇ´íµÄ¡£ËûÃÇ×ÜÊÇÕÒÄÇЩҵ¼¨²»ÔõôÑù£¬Ã»Ê²Ã´È˹Ø×¢µÄ£¬¶øÇÒ¹ÜÀí²ãÔ¸ÒâºÏ×÷µÄ¡£¹ÜÀí²ã×Ô¼º¶¼ÄÚÍâºÏı£¬¿ÉÏë¶øÖª¹«Ë¾µÄÖÎÀíˮƽ¡£×öׯ²«Éµ²«µ½×îºóÍâÃæµÄɵ×Ó¶¼²»¿Ï½øÀ´ÁË£¬Ã»ÓиüɵµÄ£¬Ö»ºÃ³ÉΪ×îɵµÄÁË¡£ÎÞÂÛׯ¼ÒÔõÑùÓ²³Å×Å£¬¹É¼Û×îÖÕ×ÜÊÇÒª»Ø¹éÆäÕæÊµ¼ÛÖµµÄ¡£
¡¡¡¡×ø×¯µÄÈËÊ×ÏȹØÐĵÄÊÇ×Ô¼ºÀÏÊó²ÖµÄÇé¿ö¡£Äã³ý·ÇÊÇËûµÄֱϵÇ×Êô£¬·ñÔòµÄ»°»¹ÊÇÔ¶À붾ƷԶÀëׯ¼Ò¡£ÄãÓü¼Êõ·ÖÎöÊDz»¿ÉÄÜÁ˽âÆäÀÏÊó²ÖµÄ½ø³öÇé¿öµÄ¡£ÔÙ˵¸úׯµÄ»°£¬¾ÍÊÇÐÁ¿à¼¸Äê׬ÁË50£¥ÓÖÈçºÎÄØ£¬Ò»¸öµØÀ×Óֻص½½â·Åǰ¡£
¡¡¡¡Æß¡¢¶Ô½â¾öµ±Ç°¹ÉÊÐÎÊÌâµÄһЩ¿´·¨
¡¡¡¡ÏÖÔÚÎÒ¹ú¹ÉÊеÄÊÐÓ¯ÂÊÒѾ­½Ó½üÉõÖÁµÍÓÚÃÀ¹ú¹ÉÊеÄˮƽÁË£¬ÒѾ­¾ßÓÐÁËÏ൱´ó³Ì¶ÈµÄͶ×ʼÛÖµ¡£µ«ÊÇ£¬ÓÉÓÚ¹ÉȨ·ÖÖÃÎÊÌâºÍ´ó¹É¶«ÇÖռŲÓùɷݹ«Ë¾²Æ²úµÄÎÊÌâÒ»Ö±²»Äܽâ¾ö£¬Ôì³ÉÉ¹ÉÊгÖÐøµÍÃÔ¡£
¡¡¡¡Èç¹ûÒ»ÏÂ×Ó½â¾ö²»ÁË£¬ÄǾÍÒ»²½Ò»²½À´ÏȰÑÈÝÒ׵Ľâ¾ö£¬»ò½â¾öµÄµ×Ïß¶¨ÏÂÀ´£¬¸øÍ¶×ÊÕßÒÔºÏÀíµÄÔ¤ÆÚ¡£
¡¡¡¡ÎÒÈÏΪӦ¸ÃÁ¢·¨ÑÏÀ÷´¦·£´ó¹É¶«¶Ô¹«Ë¾²Æ²úµÄÇÖռŲÓᣴ¦·£µÄ¶ÔÏóÓ¦¸ÃÊÇ´ó¹É¶«ÒÔ¼°¹É·Ý¹«Ë¾µÄ¸ß¹Ü¡£ÔðÈÎÓ¦¸Ãµ½ÈË£¬Çé½ÚÑÏÖØµÄÓ¦¸ÃÌáÆðÐÌÊÂËßËÏ¡£·ñÔò£¬ÖÐС¹É¶«µÄÈ¨Òæ¸ù±¾¾ÍµÃ²»µ½±£ÕÏ£¬Ò²¾Í²»»áÓг¤ÆÚͶ×ʵÄÐÅÐÄ¡£Ìرð¶Ô³ÖÓйú¼Ò¹ÉµÄ´ó¹É¶«Èç¹ûÇÖº¦ÁËÉÏÊй«Ë¾ÀûÒæµÄ»°£¬±ØÐëÒªÓÐ˵·¨¡£
¡¡¡¡ÔÚ½â¾ö¹ÉȨ·ÖÖõİ취¶Ìʱ¼ä»¹²»ÄܳöÀ´Ç°£¬¾ÍÓ¦¸ÃÃ÷È·Ðû²¼£¬½«À´·ÇÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÎÞÂÛ²ÉÓúÎÖÖ·½Ê½ÉÏÊÐÁ÷ͨ£¬¾ùӦͨ¹ýÁ÷ͨ¹É¹É¶«µÄ±í¾öͬÒâ¡£°Ñ¾¿¾¹ÊDz»ÊÇÀûºÃµÄ¾ö¶¨È¨½»µ½ÈËÃñȺÖÚÊÖÖУ¬¸øÁ÷ͨ¹É¹É¶«½«À´ÀûÒæ²»ÊÜÇÖº¦ÓèÒÔÃ÷È·µÄ±£ÕÏ¡£
¡¡¡¡¶ÔÓÚ½â¾ö¹ÉȨ·ÖÖ÷½·¨µÄÒ»ÖÖ³¢ÊÔ£¬ÊÇ·ñ¿ÉÒÔ¶Ô²¿·ÖºÏÊʹ«Ë¾µÄ·ÇÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÓù«Ë¾ºìÀû°´¾»×ʲúΪ»ù×¼½øÐлعº×¢ÏúÄØ¡£ÕâÑù¼È²»Ôö¼ÓÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÊýÁ¿£¬ÓÖ¼õÉÙÁË·ÇÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÊýÁ¿£¬»Ø¹º±¾ÉíÒ²ÊÇ·¢·ÅºìÀûµÄÒ»ÖÖ·½Ê½¡£½ñºó£¬µ±ÉÏÊй«Ë¾´ó¹É¶«Ëù³ÖÓеķÇÁ÷ͨ¹ÉÓÐÒâ³öÊÛʱ£¬Ó¦ÏÈÕÙ¿ªÁ÷ͨ¹É¹É¶«´ó»á½øÐÐѯ¼Û£¬ÓÉÁ÷ͨ¹É¹É¶«¶Ô»Ø¹ºµÄ¼Û¸ñÊýÁ¿½øÐбí¾ö¡£ÒÔºó³ý·Ç½øÐÐеÄѯ¼Û£¬´ó¹É¶«¶ÔÍâתÈõļ۸ñ²»µÃµÍÓÚǰ´ÎµÄѯ¼Û¡£ÕâÑùÖÁÉÙ¿ÉÒÔÂìÒÏʳÏó£¬Öð²½¼õÉÙ·ÇÁ÷ͨ¹ÉµÄÊýÁ¿£¬¶øÓÖ²»Ôö¼ÓÆäËüµÄÂé·³¡£
¡¡¡¡¶ÔÓÚ¹ú¼Ò¹ÉÒ»¹É¶À´óµÄÎÊÌ⣬Ӧ¸ÃÏó¹ýÈ¥²ð·ÖµçÐÅÒ»Ñù£¬°Ñ¹ú¼Ò¹ÉÖеÄ20%¡«30%ת¸øÉç»á±£ÕÏ»ù½ð£¬Ê¹ÆäÏà»¥ÖÆÔ¼¡£Éç±£»ù½ð»ùÓÚÆä×ÔÉíµÄÒªÇóÓ¦¸Ã»á´Ùʹ¹É·Ý¹«Ë¾¶à·Öºì¡£¶ÔÓÚ´ó¹É¶«¶ñÒâȦǮ£¬ÇÖռŲÓùɷݹ«Ë¾ÀûÒæµÄ£¬ÓÉÓÚÉç±£»ù½ð´ÓÖÐÒ²»áÊܵ½Ë𺦣¬×ÔÈ»»áÓëÁ÷ͨ¹É¶«ÁªºÏÆðÀ´µÖÖÆ´ó¹É¶«¡£ÕâÑù¾ÍÄܴӹɶ«½á¹¹ÉÏÏà»¥ÖÆºâ¡£
¡¡¡¡×îºó¶ÔºìÀûËùµÃ˰µÄ¿´·¨¡£ÎÒÈÏÎªÃæ¶Ô´ó²¿·ÖͶ×ÊÕß¿÷ËðµÄÏÖ×´ÔÙÕ÷ÊÕËùµÃ˰ÊDz»Ì«ºÏÊʵġ£¹ýÈ¥·â½¨Ê±´ú£¬ÄÄÀïÔâÁËÄÑ£¬»ÊµÛÀ϶ù»¹»áÏÂÖ¼Ãâ˰êâÔÖ£¬µ½ÁËÏÖ´ú£¬ZFÒ²Ó¦¸Ã´È±¯Îª»³¡£Èç¹û²»ÄÜÈ«²¿Ãâ³ý£¬¿ÉÒÔ¸ù¾Ý¹ÉÊеÄÔËÐÐÇé¿ö·Ö¼¶Õ÷ÊÕ¡£ÀýÈçijÄêÉ¹ÉÊÐÊÇϵøµÄ£¬Ôò¸ÃÄê¶ÈÉÏÊй«Ë¾µÄ·ÖºìÃâÕ÷ËùµÃ˰¡£Èç¹ûijÄêÉ¹ÉÊÐÕÇ·ùÔÚ0£¥¡«10£¥µÄ¼õ°ëÕ÷ÊÕ£¬ÕÇ·ù´óÓÚ10£¥µÄÈ«¶îÕ÷ÊÕ¡£ÄÇʱºòÕ÷µÃÔ½¶à£¬¹ÉÃñ¾ÍÔ½¸ßÐË¡£
¡¡¡¡Ïë½Ó×Å˵¼¸µã¡£
¡¡¡¡
¡¡¡¡ÔںöàÈËÑÛÖУ¬ÉÏÊй«Ë¾Ôì¼ÙÑÏÖØ¡£±¨±íË®·ÝÆæ¶à£¡Òµ¼¨Ëµ±äÁ³¾Í±äÁ³¡£¸öÈËÈ¥¸ãÊý¾Ý·ÖÎöÎÞÂÛ´ÓÐÅÏ¢ÉÏ¡¢ÊµÁ¦É϶¼ÑÏÖØÖÆÔ¼ÁËÏòÕâÒ»·½Ãæ·¢Õ¹µÄÄÜÁ¦¡£Êý¾Ý·ÖÎöËÆºõ²»ÇкÏʵ¼Ê¡£
¡¡¡¡ÆäʵÕâÊÇÒ»¸öÎóÇø
¡¡¡¡µÚÒ»£ºÊý¾Ý·ÖÎö¾ö²»Ö¹·ÖÎö¹«Ë¾µÄ±¨±í£¬ÕâÖ»ÊÇÆäÖÐÒ»Ïî¡£
¡¡¡¡µÚ¶þ£ºÊý¾Ý·ÖÎöÊÇ¿ÉÒÔÂýÂý»ýÀ۵ġ£µ±Äã·ÖÎöÍêһЩÊý¾Ý£¬×ÊÁϺ󡣺ܶà×ÊÁÏ¿ÉÒÔÀÛ»ýÆðÀ´£¬ÒÔºóÔÙÈ¥·ÖÎöÆäʵµÄ¹«Ë¾»áÔ½À´Ô½ÈÝÒס£
¡¡¡¡µÚÈý£º´ÓÉí±ßµÄ´óСÊÂÇéÈ¥·¢ÏÖͶ×ʵĻú»á¡£µ±ÒÁÀûÅ£ÄÌÂôµÃÂú´ó½Ö¶¼ÊǵÄʱºò£¬Äã¾Í¿ÉÒÔÒâʶµ½»ú»áÀ´ÁË¡£µ±ÒÁÀû¹É·ÝµøÏÂÀ´µÄʱºòÒ²ÕýÊÇ´óºÃµÄ½¨²Ö»ú»á¡£Ò»ÇлùÓÚÄãÁ˽âÓжàÉÙ¡£
¡¡¡¡µÚËÄ£º·¢ÏֺõĹ«Ë¾£¬ÐèҪȥ¸ú×Ù·ÖÎö¡£×öµÃÔÙºÃÄÇÖ»ÊǹýÈ¥£¬¹«Ë¾Ãæ¶ÔδÀ´ÈçºÎÈ¥·¢Õ¹¡£Ãæ¶ÔÀ§ÄÑÈçºÎÈ¥Ãæ¶Ô£¬ÕâЩ×ãÒÔ¿´Çå³þ¹«Ë¾¹ÜÀí²ãµÄˮƽ¡£
±¾Ìû×î½üÆÀ·Ö¼Ç¼
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡

TOP

Ͷ×ʱ¨³ê´ÓºÎ¶øÀ´£¬´ÓÉÏÊй«Ë¾µÄÀûÈóÔö³¤¶øÀ´£¿Ò»¸öÒµ¼¨²»¶ÏÔö³¤µÄÉÏÊй«Ë¾¿ÉËüµÄÀûÈó²»·ÖÅ䲻תÔù£¬Í¶×ÊÕßÈçºÎµÃµ½»Ø±¨£¿
¼¨ÓŹɠ À¬»ø¹É  ÄÜÈÃÄã׬ǮµÄ¾ÍÊǺùÉ

TOP

»Ø¸´ 168Â¥ µÄÌû×Ó


Èç¹ûÊÇÕâÑùµÄ¹«Ë¾£¬ÄǾͲ»ÒªÍ¶×ÊËü
´ïÔò¼æ¼ÃÌìÏ£¬ÇîÔò¶ÀÉÆÆäÉí£¡